Northern Illinois Huskies vs Western Michigan Broncos Gambling Preview + Predictions
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Week 9: Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan Preview & Pick
Date: Saturday, October 30, 2010
Venue: Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, Michigan
Broadcast: ESPN-GP
Northern Illinois Huskies at Western Michigan Broncos Betting Lines from Betus.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: Northern Illinois -8
Over/Under: 54
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Northern Illinois Huskies (6-2)
Even if Northern Illinois hasn’t had a ridiculously tough schedule, the Huskies have to be pleased with the results so far this season. They’ve rattled off five straight dominant wins, scoring at least 31 points in each one and allowing more than 14 points just once.
The key to Northern Illinois’ success has been its excellent rushing attack, which ranks 11th in the nation with 247.5 yards per game. Chad Spann has been a force, running for 854 yards and 11 touchdowns. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Defensively, the Huskies have been no slouches, either. They’re 34th in the country overall and 21st in scoring defense, allowing just 18.4 points per game. They’ve shut the door against often inferior competition; it will be interesting to see how they hold up against Western Michigan’s underrated offense.
Western Michigan Broncos (3-4)
The Broncos certainly aren’t perfect but at least they’re often fun to watch. Led by Alex Carder, Western Michigan quietly has the No. 15 passing offense in the country. The Broncos also average a healthy 31.6 points per game.
They enter this week’s home game having won two of three and having scored 45-plus points in each of those wins. Last week against Akron was perhaps Carder’s best effort yet. He threw for 372 yards, completed 70.7 per cent of his passes and tallied five touchdown tosses.
Western Michigan’s defense against Notre dame two weeks ago showed that it can’t really keep up against a big school; the Broncos allowed almost 450 yards of offense in a 44-20 loss.
The pick:
Since each of these teams can move the ball pretty well – Northern Illinois on the ground and Western Michigan through the air – this game could actually a back-and-forth shootout (though I still think 54 points is too high of a total). In the end, I like Northern Illinois’ superior defense to be the difference maker here. As good as Carder looked last week, he’d thrown three touchdown passes versus seven picks in his four games prior. He could make some blunders this week. If Northern Illinois stakes out a lead, it can use Spann to chew up clock and close out the game.
Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan prediction: Northern Illinois 31, Western Michigan 21
Money Line: OFF
Spread: Northern Illinois -8
Over/Under: UNDER 54
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