Texas A&M vs. KU Gambling Preview + Predictions
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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Kansas Jayhawks CFB Lines
Date/Time: Saturday, October 23, 7 PM ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS
Broadcast: None
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Kansas Jayhawks Betting Lines from Justbet.com
Money Line: Kansas (+425) Texas A&M (-575)
Spread: Texas A&M -13 ½
Over/Under: 53 ½
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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Kansas Jayhawks Preview
In a Big 12 match up this Saturday between a couple of teams that are 0-2 in conference play the Kansas Jayhawks host the Texas A&M Aggies. College football lines have Texas A&M as a 13.5-point favorites in this game with a total of 53.5.
Both teams are struggling, as each is coming off a blowout loss and the Aggies have lost 3 straight after winning their first 3 games and the Jayhawks have lost their last 2.
The main reason the Aggies are big favorites in this away game is that they have a great passing offense and Kansas is not a good team on either side of the ball not ranking in the top 75 in the nation in passing or rushing offense or on defense. Not only that, but Kansas has lost their last 2 games by a combined score of 114 to 14. For Kansas to win this game they will have to play like they did when they upset, then, 15th ranked Georgia Tech in their 2nd game of the season.
Neither team is making people betting on them happy, as each is only 2-4 ATS this season. A&M are big favorites on Saturday and in the last 5 games between these 2 teams the road team has covered the spread every time.
In their last games Kansas was embarrassed at home losing to in-state rival Kansas State 59-7 and Texas A&M lost to Missouri 30-9.
The Aggies and their 10th ranked passing offense is led by QB Jerrod Johnson, who has a rocket for an arm and has a good chance to play on Sundays after his college career is over. He airs it out often with at least 31 passing attempts in every game this season and in the shootout 38-35 loss to Oklahoma State a few weeks back he threw the ball 62 times. His main targets are WR Jeff Fuller (39 rec 566 yards 7 TD) and WR Ryan Swope (33 rec 344 yards 1 TD).
Kansas would seem to have a good secondary ranked 33rd in the nation, but they have only faced one team that has a passing offense ranked in the top 20 in the nation and that was Baylor and in that game they lost 55-7 and gave up 434 passing yards. Johnson has 9 picks on the season and unless the Jayhawks will come up with a few the Aggies will light up the scoreboard.
The Aggies have a decent run offense ranking 63rd in the nation in rushing yards per game, but they may improve upon that ranking in this game facing a Kansas run defense that ranks 105th in the nation and gave up 276 yards on the ground last week to Kansas State.
For Kansas to win this game they will have to air it out, as the Aggies have the 2nd ranked rushing defense in the nation and this season opponents are only averaging 2.5 yards per carry. The responsibility in this game falls on KU QB Jordan Webb, who has passed for over 220 yards in 2 games this season including last week. If the Jayhawks cannot run the ball, which is likely in this game, Webb will have to play a career game for the Kansas to pull off the upset.
The Kansas offensive line has to protect Webb to give him time to find his targets, but they only rank 105th in the nation with their offensive line giving up 18 sacks this season. They have to really worry about OLB Von Miller and LB Damontre Moore, who have combined for 6 sacks this season. Last season Miller led the nation with 17 sacks, but this season he has been double teamed and Kansas will have to do that as well to keep him from terrorizing Webb in the backfield.
Basically, this game is not a good match up for the Jayhawks, as they are simply not a good team this season. Texas A&M will halt their 3-game losing streak and they will also blow Kansas out and cover the 13.5-point spread.
Betting Trends
Texas A&M is 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more.
Kansas is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Big 12 games, and has an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Pick: Texas A&M and the Over
