Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Duke Blue Devils Gambling Preview + Predictions
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Week 5:Miami (FL) at Duke Odds & Gambling Pick
Date: Saturday, October 16, 2010
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC
Broadcast: ESPN3.com
Miami Hurricanes at Duke Blue Devils Betting Lines from BetUs.com
Money Line: Miami -1200, Duke +750
Spread: Miami -19.5
Over/Under: 58.5
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Miami (Florida) Hurricanes (3-2)
I’ll go out on a limb and say the Miami Hurricanes will come out angry this week against Duke. They suffered a crushing loss last week, falling 45-17 at home to Florida State. The strange part about it is that they struggled to do many of the things they normally do well.
Entering that matchup, Miami had one of the nation’s elite defenses, allowing 15 points per game. Yet the Seminoles torched them for 45 points and 471 total yards, including a whopping 298 on the ground. We have to assume the ’Canes will bounce back in a big way against an inferior Duke attack. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
But will Miami’s offense also rally? Jacory Harris wasn’t himself last week, completing just 19 of 47 pass attempts. He’s battling a groin injury and is listed as questionable to play against Duke at the moment. However, coach Randy Shannon insists that Harris is fine and will start this weekend. It still wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Hurricanes go more run-heavy against Duke and feature a lot of Damien Berry this week.
Duke Blue Devils (1-4)
Riding a four-game losing streak, the Duke Blue Devils look like a pushover this week, even at home. Sean Renfree has the arm to take them downfield, averaging 292.8 passing yards per game this season, but he also makes plenty of blunders. He has nine interceptions to accompany his 10 touchdown passes.
As Renfree goes, Duke goes, as the Blue Devils aren’t a running team. Still, their top three rushers, Desmond Scott, Josh Snead and Brandon Connette, all average more than five yards per carry. So the problem isn’t necessarily that Duke doesn’t run the ball well; it’s that it falls behind early in games and has no choice but to pass.
The Blue Devils fall behind because of their defense, which has allowed 28 or more points in all four of its losses, at least 35 points three times and 48 or more points twice.
The pick:
Some bettors will like Duke this week. After all, a 19.5-point underdog at home always has a decent shot to cover and Renfree’s arm could be a threat after Christian Ponder and the Seminoles put tons of points on the board against Miami last week.
Still, I think the FSU loss was an anomaly. The Hurricanes played great defense leading up to that game and I think they’ll feast on a mistake-prone quarterback like Renfree. Even if Jacory Harris isn’t 100 per cent, Miami shouldn’t have too much trouble scoring on Duke’s Swiss-cheese defense. Go with the road team.
Miami (FL) vs Duke prediction: Miami 35, Duke 13
Money Line: Miami -1200
Spread: Miami -19.5
Over/Under: UNDER 58.5
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