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BYU vs. TCU Free Week 7 Preview & Pick (Oct. 16)

On Saturday October 16th its the BYU Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs. Odds have the Horned Frogs listed as 29-point favorites. The game’s total is set at 49, here is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

NCAA Football Odds – Brigham Young Cougars vs Texas Christian Horned Frogs Free Pick & Preview

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Cougars at Horned Frogs Matchup

Saturday October 16 – 4:00PM
Amon G. Carter Stadium – Fort Worth, Texas
BYU (2-4) vs TCU (6-0)
Moneyline: TCU -6000, BYU +2750
Spread Favourite: TCU -29
Over/Under: 49
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!

BYU

The Cougars are having a very poor season by their lofty standard.s  BYU usually gathers nine or ten wins, competes for a conference title and plays in a bowl game but this year it has been a major struggle.  They had lost four games in a row heading into last week but they upset a pretty good San Diego State team at home on Saturday.  Yes, that is correct, they were the underdogs at home against the Aztecs.

One of the main reasons for BYU’s struggles has been poor play at QB.  This is a school with a great tradition in the pivot, a tradition that helped lure Jake Heaps to Provo.  Heaps may turn out to be a fine player but he is certainly not setting the league on fire as a freshman.  He may have collected his first win as a starter last week but he threw for only 126 yards with an interception.  For them to have a chance against TCU he will have to be close to perfect.

BYU was a great get for the Mountain West when it originated but now Utah and TCU have passed the Cougars in the football hierarchy.  TCU has won the last two in this annual series and has covered in the last three.  This might be TCU’s best team yet and as you can tell by the spread (+29) no one is expecting the Cougars to put up much of a fight.

TCU

The Horned Frogs are 6-0 and ranked 5th in the nation.  They have pitched back to back shutouts and it is hard to argue that there is a hotter team in the nation right now.  Given that they haven’t allowed a point in 8 straight quarters I took a look deeper at their defensive stats.  They haven’t given up more than 7 points in any quarter this season which I find very impressive.  If you score once in a quarter you are done.

TCU is a true juggernaut as it is rare to find teams that are so dominant offensively and defensively.  On the defensive side they are first in yards allowed and second in points allowed.  On offense they are 8th in the nation in scoring at over 41ppg for an average margin of victory of more than 30 points.  Some may criticize TCU coach Gary Patterson for not running up the score but I am confident that if they finish undefeated things will work out for them this season.

The last two seasons TCU has beaten BYU and it hasn’t been close.  Although they were only small favourites each time they have won by 25 and 31 points, asserting their dominance over the Cougars.  Sure the Cougars would love to spoil a dream season for TCU but if they are going to spoil it for anybody it seems more likely Utah would fall later in the season in the anual  Holy War.  BYU still has a strong name so even though they are having a down year whipping them will still help the Horned Frogs.

The Pick: At home TCU should have no problem with this BYU team.  The spread is high but given the play of Heaps it wouldn’t surprise for the Horned Frogs to cover.

College Football Gambling Trends

Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Cougars are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Horned Frogs are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Score Prediction:  TCU 48 – BYU 13

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