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Boise State vs Colorado State Free Week 7 Preview & Pick (Oct. 15)

Boise St. Broncos vs Colorado St. Rams Gambling + Handicapping

This is the first Mountain West Conference game for the Broncos.  Right now it is looking like they will slice right through the conference en route to another perfect season.

Boise State Broncos vs Colorado State Rams
Hughes Stadium – Fort Collins, Colorado
Saturday October 15 – 6:00PM
Moneyline:  Boise State -15000, Colorado State +6000
Spread (ATS): Boise State -32
Over/Under: 53.5
Odds courtesy of 5Dimes

Boise State

There are a couple of teams that might provide a challenge but it would be hard to make a case for Colorado State.  Boise State is on the lookout for style points and this game probably will not provide them.

Boise State might have had its most impressive win to date against Fresno State last week.  They have been clobbering foes all season but winning by 50 points always gets the attention of people.  In fact the score was 50-0 before Fresno finally crossed the goal line in the 4th quarter.  When this team plays clean (no turnovers and only 2 penalties last week) they are near impossible to stop.

After a couple of ATS losses the Broncos were again a winning play covering easily against Fresno State.  As a result the number this week is a whopping 32 points.  Boise is one of the few teams who seem to be able to cover at almost any number.  However, there are much better values on the board this week than laying 32 big ones on the road – even with Boise.  [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Colorado State

Colorado State is enjoying more success than usual this season with three wins already, including two on the road.  If it wins the games its supposed to the Rams just might become bowl eligible.  Unfortunately this is not one of them.  The key will be how close Colorado State can keep it and whether they can keep their confidence for an important game they must win next week at a weak UTEP.

Despite the positive statements above this is still a mediocre team.  Sophomore QB Pete Thomas is continuing to develop and should eclipse his yardage total from last year but he still turns the ball over more than you would like.  If you look at things statistically then the best phase of the game for the Rams is pass defense but that might be a fallacy as teams have little trouble running against them and can afford to play conservatively when they are leading.

Colorado State has been a miserable ATS play with just a 1-4 record thus far.  Normally I would be drawn to an underdog this big but when you are staring down a motivated Broncos team it is hard to make an argument for the opponent.  Even though this is a big number if you like Colorado State I would wait.  It might actually move closer to 35 by kickoff.  Heres a stat:  Colorado State has lost 12 straight to ranked opponents by an average of 27 points.

ATS Pick:  Boise State -32
Over/Under Pick:  Over
Score Prediction:  Boise State 55 – Colorado State 21

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.