Baylor Bears vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Gambling Preview + Predictions
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Bears at Red Raiders Week 6 Lines
Date/Time: Saturday, October 9, 12 PM ET
Venue: Cotton Bowl, Dallas TX
Broadcast: None
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders from JustBet
Money Line: Baylor (+140) Texas Tech (-160)
Spread: Texas Tech -2
Over/Under: 60 ½
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Baylor Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview
In a Big 12 match up this Saturday the Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-2) face the Baylor Bears (4-1). College betting lines have Texas Tech as 2-point favorites in this game with a total of 60.5. The Red Raiders are the slight favorite in this game and the favorite has covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games between these 2 teams.
Texas Tech began the season well with 2 wins, but they have lost their last 2 games and the losses have really hurt since they were both Big 12 games. The Red Raiders are 0-2 in the Big 12 and they really need to win this game to get back on track and if they lose they will have a major uphill battle to make a good bowl game. After the Baylor game they play 3 games in their next 5 against teams that are ranked in the top 25.
Baylor is 1-0 in the Big 12 and they are looking for their first winning season since joining the conference in the mid 90’s. They are coming off an impressive victory over Kansas where they scored 55 points and only gave up 7. However, they are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against Texas Tech and they have not beaten the Red Raiders since the 2004 season.
In their last games Baylor laid a 55-7 beat down on Kansas and Texas Tech looked terrible on defense losing to Iowa State 52-38.
Heading into this game Baylor is 3-2 ATS and Texas Tech is 1-3 ATS.
Both teams have a great passing offense with each team ranking in the top 20 in the nation in passing yards per game. However, while that points to an Over total in this game in the last 6 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 5 times.
Baylor is led by exciting QB Robert Griffin III, who was great in the Kansas game passing for 380 yards with 3 TD and 0 INT and he also rushed for 64 yards with 1 TD.
The Red Raiders’ pass defense only ranks 90th in the nation and last week they gave up 190 passing yards and 4 TD to Iowa State. Their secondary will have their hands full, as Griffin has 2 big play WR’s in Josh Gordon and Terrance Williams. Last week Gordon had 2 TD and averaged 40.3 yards per catch and Williams also had 2 TD and averaged 25.3 yards per catch.
Baylor can also run the ball, mainly with Griffin, and they have the nation’s 43rd ranked rushing defense. Look for them to pick up some big yards in this game against a Tech rushing defense that is decent ranking 51st in the nation, but they gave up 251 rushing yards to Iowa State.
The Red Raiders are led by QB Taylor Potts and they have the nation’s 10th ranked passing offense. He had a HUGE game against Iowa State passing for 377 yards with 5 TD, but he did have one INT. Overall the Red Raiders had 3 turnovers in the game and they cannot turn the ball over in this game.
Potts will likely have to provide all the offense since the Red Raiders only rank 110th in the nation in rushing yards per game.
Baylor ranks 40th in the nation in pass defense and last week against Kansas the secondary came up big since they only allowed 171 yards through the air and they came up with 2 picks.
Both teams have the passing offense so each team’s offensive lines have to protect their QB. Baylor has only given up 5 sacks this season, but Texas Tech ranks 5th in the nation in sacks per game.
The Red Raiders’ D will have to get to Griffin and not allow him to kill them with his arm and his legs, but that is not likely since the Baylor QB is so athletic and tough to take down.
The Red Raiders have had the Bears’ number for the past few years, but Baylor is not the Big 12 doormat any longer and they will come out and play well and score a minor upset in this game beating Texas Tech.
Trends:
Texas Tech is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Big 12 games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3, and has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Baylor is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Big 12 games and has an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 Big 12 games.
Pick: Baylor +2
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