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Florida St. vs. Virginia Week 5 Preview & Pick

On SATURDAY OCTOBER 2, 2010 its the FSU Seminoles vs. Virginia Cavaliers. Odds currently have the Seminoles listed as 6.5-point favorites , the game’s total is set at 47½. Here is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

FSU Seminoles vs Virginia Cavaliers Gambling Preview + Predictions

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Week 5: Florida State at Virginia Odds & Gambling Pick

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2010
Venue: Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
Broadcast: ESPN-GP/ACC Network
Florida State Seminoles at Virginia Cavaliers Betting Lines from BetUS.com
Money Line: Florida State -265, Virginia +225
Spread: Florida State -6.5
Over/Under: 47.5
Florida State Seminoles (3-1)
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It’s not Florida State’s 3-1 record that surprises bettors so far this season; it’s how the Seminoles amassed it.

Last season, FSU’s defense was a laughing stock. It was expected to sputter again this season with Heisman Trophy hopeful Christian ponder needing to help the team win with offense first. Ponder has thrown for a respectable seven touchdowns but did his damage against Samford, Wake Forest and BYU. In FSU’s one tough matchup so far this season, Ponder was terrible, going 11 of 28 for 113 yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions against Oklahoma. The ground game has been more of a strength than the passing game; Ty Jones leads a rushing attack averaging 196.8 yards per contest. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

But the key has actually been Florida State’s defense thus far. The Seminoles lead the nation in sacks with 19 through four games. They had 27 all of last season. However, considering the “D” also got dominated in that Oklahoma game, has Florida State’s success only come because of a weak schedule?

Virginia (2-1)

Especially at home, the Virginia Cavaliers won’t be a pushover for Florida State. They showed they can put points on the board when they dropped 48 on poor Virginia Military Institute last week. Senior signalcaller Marc Verica has been sharp so far, tallying five touchdown passes versus one pick and averaging 232.3 passing yards per game.

Virginia’s defense has been even better, ranking seventh with just 12.3 points allowed per game. Richmond and Virginia Military were easy to hold down but allowing 17 points to USC on the road was a big accomplishment.

The pick:

Even though Oklahoma lit them up, I still like what I’ve seen from Florida State’s defense overall this season. I think they’ll make Marc Verica’s life miserable. As solid as Verica has been, he wasn’t so great against a legit defense like USC’s earlier this season, throwing for 190 yards and a pick while completing 47.2 per cent of his passes.

The Seminoles will know how to stall Virginia’s offense and their rushing attack should do enough to put some points on the board. Expect FSU to grind out a win in what may be a surprisingly low-scoring affair. But it may not cover the spread depending on how the number shifts before game day.

Florida State vs Virginia prediction: Florida State 20, Virginia 14

Money Line: Florida State -265
Spread: Virginia +6.5
Over/Under: UNDER 47.5

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