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Week 4: West Virginia vs. LSU Preview & Pick

On Saturday SEPTEMBER 25, 2010 its the West Virginia Mountaineers vs. LSU Tigers. Odds currently have the Tigers listed as 9½-point favorites, the game’s total has been posted at 42. Here is a betting preview and matchup handicapping tips…

Big East Football Previews- No. 21 West Virginia Mountaineers vs  No. 15 Louisiana State Tigers

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Mountaineers at Tigers Matchup

Date/Time: Saturday, September 25     9 p.m.
Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge LA.
Broadcast: ESPN2
Mountaineers @ Tigers Lines by Sports Interaction
Pointspread: Tigers – 6 ½
Over/Under: 44 ½
Bet Now @ SportsInteraction.com!

One of these teams will be strapped with its first loss of the season when the 3-0 West Virginia Mountaineers take on the 3-0 LSU Tigers in a Big East- SEC showdown this Saturday night in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. (ET).

West Virginia has suddenly become the pride of the Big East as Rutgers and themselves are the only two teams left without a loss. The Mountaineers opened the season at home with a 31-0 rout of Coastal Carolina as a 41 ½ point favorite. The following week as a 12 point road favorite, they needed some last minute heroics to pull out a 24-21 OT win over Marshall.

Last week as a 10 point home favorite, West Virginia put together its most solid effort of the season by building a 28-0 lead early in the third quarter en route to a 31-17 victory over Maryland. The defense was smothering until the game was out of reach. QB Geno Smith continued to put up impressive numbers completing 19-of 29 attempts for 268 yards and four TD’s. RB Ned Devine ran for 131 yards on 27 carries, averaging 4.9 yards per carry. NFL Betting

LSU is 3-0 this season after grinding out a 31-24 win in its season opener over then-No.24 North Carolina. The Tigers came into this one as a 7 ½ point favorite with the game being played at a neutral site (Georgia Dome, Atlanta). They followed this up with a lopsided 27-3 win over Vanderbilt as a 10 ½ road favorite.

Last Saturday, in a SEC West battle, the Tigers handled Mississippi State 29-7 as a 7 ½ point home favorite. It was kicker Josh Jasper’s five field goals and the defenses’ five interceptions that paced the win. LSU’s offense, led by QB Jordan Jefferson, struggled a bit as it could not find the end zone with most of its drives ending up stalled near the goal line.

West Virginia is 7-3 straight up in its last 10 games but just 4-6 against the spread. The Mountaineers are 2-2 SU and ATS in their last four games on the road. The total has been evenly split in their last 10 games but has gone ‘over’ in three of their last four.

LSU is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games and 5-5 ATS. The Tigers are 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS at home in their last five games. The total has stayed ‘under’ in six of their last 10 games and three of their last four.

These are two of the more stingy defenses in the country as West Virginia is ranked ninth in points allowed and LSU is ranked fifth which should favor a low scoring affair. It will be difficult for the Mountaineers to pull off the upset on the road but they should still be able to keep it close enough to cover the 6 ½ point spread. 

Betting Trends:

West Virginia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
West Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

The Pick: West Virginia + 6 ½.

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David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.