NCAA Football Odds – Tulane Green Wave vs Houston Cougars Free Pick & Preview
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Tulane Green Wave at Houston Cougars Matchup
Saturday September 25 – 3:30PM
Robertson Stadium – Houston, Texas
Tulane (1-1) vs Houston (2-1)
Moneyline: Houston -1100, Tulane +700
Spread Favourite: Houston -20 (-110)
Over/Under: 60.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS)
Tulane
The Green Wave are 1-1 and coming off a bye. Their lone win came against lowly Southeastern Louisiana (they failed to cover) but Tulane did show up against Ole Miss losing by only a couple of TDs as 20 point dogs. As the failings of Ole Miss before and since have indicated that may have had more to do with the Rebels’ ineptitude than Tulane’s prowess…more likely the former than the latter.
Tulane’s gets lucky in that they do not have to face Case Keenum on Saturday…or at least as lucky as you can be in facing a team on the road that has beaten you seven times in a row, all by at least 21 points (HOU is 7-0 ATS as well). It may be nice facing a third string QB but Tulane needs to be concerned about their own play in the pivot. QB Ryan Griffin is completing a high percentage (67%) but is averaging less than 200 yards per game and hasn’t thrown a TD pass in two games. If Tulane has to play catchup (almost assured) can he really lead them to victory?
Tulane’s best shot is to hope they can have success running the ball like UCLA did. RB Orleans Darkwa has been effective toting the rock but they need to give it to him more. He has only 25 carries in two games this year and he needs to be used to churn out yardage and work the clock to give Tulane even a hope of a chance. 
It is amazing how big the spread is this one considering Houston’s injuries. It is either the ultimate in respect or disrespect.
Houston
It says a lot about the Cougars that they can get smacked by UCLA, lose a Heisman hopeful QB (and his backup) and still be favoured by almost three touchdowns. It is amazing how a season can turn for better or worse in just a single game. I am not sure anyone has a book on third string QB Terrance Broadway but Houston has no other choice to continue with their pass happy spread attack.
Lucky for Broadway none of the receivers got hurt. As a result he is at the controls of a very formidable attack but you have to wonder how the freshman will perform in his first college start. Also available is running back Bryce Beall. Beall is averaging almost 8 yards per carry and has 5 TDs in three games. Against a team like Tulane they can lean on Beall a little more than normal if they like.
Against UCLA the Cougars were useless in run defense giving up 266 yards and over 5 yards per carry. This was against a team that had been struggling offensively all year in the Bruins. Everyone knows that the defense is the weak link on this team and UCLA had the talent to exploit it. Tulane is not nearly as talented as the Bruins but the formula for beating up the Cougars may have been exposed. Plus sticking to the ground game keeps their offense off the field which is no good for the Cougars.
The Pick: When I first saw this line I was in shock but as I broke down the game it seemed like it might not be so out of whack. Tulane stands little chance of slowing down the Cougar attack so as long as Broadway is OK the offense should roll. Still, that is a big unknown so I will take a pass on this one. There are better options out there.
College Football Gambling Trends
Green Wave are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Green Wave are 9-26 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Green Wave are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Cougars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Favorite is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Score Prediction: Houston 38 – Tulane 10
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