New Mexico State Aggies vs Kansas Jayhawks Gambling Preview + Predictions
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Aggies at Jayhawks Week 4 Lines
Date/Time: Saturday, September 25, 7 PM ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Lawrence KS
Broadcast: None
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kansas Jayhawks Betting Lines from JustBet.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: KU -21 ½
Over/Under: 48
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New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kansas Jayhawks Preview
On Saturday night in a non-conference match up between a couple of struggling teams the Kansas Jayhawks (1-2) host the winless New Mexico State Aggies (0-2). College football lines have Kansas as 21.5-point favorites in this game with a total of 48.
Kansas rebounded from their embarrassing home loss to Division I-AA South Dakota State in their season opener by winning their second game upsetting Georgia Tech before losing last week to go 1-2 on the season. They begin Big 12 play next week and want to beat the Aggies this week so they are .500 when they begin conference play.
Rock-chalk-Jayhawk? Not so far this season, as Kansas has struggled on offense not ranking in the top 90 in the nation in passing offense or rushing offense.
New Mexico State has lost 2 games and neither was close and they are not very good on both sides of the ball. It is interesting that right now they have bragging rights having a better defense than their in-state rival New Mexico, but the Aggies rank 119th on defense out of 120 FBS teams and New Mexico ranks 120th. Yeah, the Aggies have struggled on the defensive side of the ball.
Things do not get any easier for the Aggies, as after they face the Jayhawks they begin Western Athletic Conference play hosting 3rd ranked Boise State next week.
In their last games New Mexico State lost to UTEP 42-10 and Kansas lost to Southern Mississippi 31-16.
Heading into this game New Mexico State is 0-2 ATS and Kansas is 1-1 ATS.
Kansas only had 274 yards of offense in their loss to Southern Miss and they did not take advantage of their many opportunities. Kansas is led by a couple of freshman on offense, but they did not get it done last week. QB Jordan Webb and RB James Sims struggled against Southern Miss, as Webb was16/26 passes for 138 yards and a TD, and Sims ran for 74 yards averaging a less than impressive 3.7 yards per carry.
However Webb and Sims may each play well against an Aggies’ defense that is simply terrible and last week gave up almost 500 yards to UTEP. They were equally poor against the run and the pass against UTEP allowing 246 passing yards and 249 rushing yards.
For New Mexico State to have any chance to beat Kansas QB Matt Christian may have to have a HUGE game. However, he will be facing a Kansas defense that has a great secondary and ranks 8th in the nation in pass defense. In the loss to UTEP Christian passed for 200 yards with 0 TD and 1 INT.
Christian may not get much help from the running game, which ranks 102nd in the nation averaging just over 100 yards per game on the ground. Hold on though, as he may get some help since the Kansas rushing defense only ranks 96th in the nation. The Aggies’ RB duo of Kenny Turner and Seth Smith may get their chances and they will have to take advantage of it when they are given the opportunity.
New Mexico State will have to play a great game to have any chance at the upset, but in their 2 games they have now showed they can do that and even though Kansas is only 1-2 they are the best team the Aggies have faced this season.
Kansas will be chomping at the bit to play well at home after their shocking loss to North Dakota State and they will do just that. It actually will not be that tough against a New Mexico State team that is one of the weaker teams in college football this season. The Jayhawks will come out on fire and play well, especially on offense, as they will easily win this game and cover the spread.
Trends:
New Mexico State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams from the Big 12 conference, and has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 away games.
Kansas is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, and has an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
Pick: Kansas -21 ½ /// Pick #2: Over
Jason did OK last week going 4-4 for the week in the college game and while he has yet to be below .500 for any of the 3 weeks he wishes the Redskins could have played some D against the Texans in losing their first game of the season to the Lone Star State.
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Jason did OK last week going 4-4 for the week in the college game and while he has yet to be below .500 for any of the 3 weeks he wishes the Redskins could have played some D against the Texans in losing their first game of the season to the Lone Star State.
