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KU vs. Southern Miss Preview & Pick (Sept. 17)

On Friday September 17th its the Kansas Jayhawks vs. Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles. Odds have the Golden Eagles listed as 5½-point favorites. The game’s total is sitting at 48, here is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

Friday Night NCAA Football Odds – Kansas vs Southern Miss Free Pick & Preview

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Kansas Jayhawks vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

Friday September 17 – 8:00PM
M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburs, Mississippi
Kansas (1-1) vs Southern Miss (1-1)
Moneyline Odds From Betus: Southern Miss -220, Kansas +180
Spread Favourite: Southern Miss -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 48
Bet Now @ Betus.com!

Kansas

The Turner Gill era got off to a rocky start, losing a game to FCS North Dakota State.  In that game they significantly outgained their foes but turned the ball over twice.  Then in an amazing turnaround they followed up that stunning loss with a victory over a ranked Georgia Tech team despite surrendering more than 250 yards rushing to their triple option attack.  The amazing turnaround from one week to the next bodes well for Gill at KU.  Just like at Buffalo he is instilling a winning attitude in his team.

I am still shocked that Kansas turned it around last week.  This week they have their first road contest of the season against Southern Miss, who wants to show that their loss to South Carolina won’t define their season.  Even though Kansas won, and supposedly found their starting QB in the process, this offense is not very good.  They only scored 3 points against North Dakota State and QB Jordan Webb threw for less than 200 yards against Georgia Tech.  Hardly the kind of performance that cements a job even though he did include 3 TDs.

With such huge differences from week to week it is hard to tell where this team will settle.   The last few seasons of Kansas football were about as god as it has been and they graduated a lot of talent after last season, including their all time leading passer and receiver.  Last year the defense was not very good and they couldn’t score enough points like they did the previous two seasons.  After the first two games is is unclear how they expect to beat opponents.  It’s Gill’s first year and it will likely take another or two for them to establish his style.

Southern Miss

The Golden Eagles really disappointed me on the opening night of the season with their performance against South Carolina.  They had a chance to announce to the rest of Conference USA that they were going to be a contender but instead it looks like another 7-6 seaon (they have had three in a row).  To make that mark they have to avenge their loss at Kansas last season with a home victory on Friday night.

The key as always is getting the ball to mammoth receiver DeAndre Brown.  The Gamecocks completely eliminated him from the game (he got his TD and 1/2 his yards when they were down 30 points in Q4) but against Prairie View he had 5 catches for 100 yards and a TD.  Granted there is a different in talent amongst the opposition but Southern Miss has to force the issue with Brown.  He is their best playmaker by far and will have  6 inches and 40 pounds on the corners who will try and defend him.  That leaves plenty of margin for error for whichever QB is in the game.

In last year’s loss Kansas killed Southern Miss through the air.  But that was with Todd Reesing at the controls and with two All Big 12 calibre receivers.  This year they can focus on loading up on the run forcing newly appointed starter Jordan Webb to beat them.  His weapons pale in comparison from year’s past and he doesn’t have all that much experience as the starter.  On the road, at night they should be able to rattle him into some bad decisions.

The Pick: Southern Miss needs this one to have a successful season.  They fought back from 2 TDs down last year only to lose but this year they might actually have the better team.  As long as the spread stays where it is go with the Golden Eagles.

College Football Gambling Trends

Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games in September.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Score Prediction:  Southern Mississippi 30 – Kansas 21

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