Big East Football Previews – Pittsburgh Panthers vs Cincinnati Bearcats
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Panthers at Bearcats
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Date/Time: Saturday, Dec. 4 12 p.m.
Venue: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Broadcast: ESPN
Panthers vs Bearcats Lines by betED.com
Pointspread: Bearcats -2
Over/Under: 54
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The Pittsburgh Panthers take on the Cincinnati Bearcats this upcoming Saturday afternoon at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, OH. in the Big East season finale for both teams. Kickoff is scheduled for 12 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast live on ESPN.
This has been a season to forget for Pittsburgh after all the preseason hype has turned into a disappointing reality. The Panthers just about blew their shot at winning the Big East title with a 30-28 loss to Connecticut three weeks ago and most recently a 35-10 loss to West Virginia is last week’s ‘Backyard Brawl’. Pitt was favored in both of these games but was unable able to come through when it needed to the most.
Last week’s loss as a three-point home favorite left the Panthers 6-5 straight-up on the year and 5-4-2 against the spread. They fell to 4-2 SU in the Big East and the only way they can still capture the title is if both the Huskies and the Mountaineers lose this week and they win.
Pitt has struggled on both sides of the ball down the stretch as its defense has had trouble stopping anyone, giving up an average of 25 points in its last three games, while the offense could only manage to score an average of 18.75 points over its past four. QB Tino Sunseri has completed 65.8 percent of his passes for 2,318 yards but he only has 15 touchdowns passes for the year and has thrown seven interceptions. RB’s Ray Graham and Dion Lewis still give the Panthers an effective rushing attack which could be crucial to winning this game. These two have combined for 1,520 rushing yards and 16 TD’s. Jon Baldwin is the team’s leading receiver with 753 yards on 47 catches.
Cincinnati’s season has been even a bigger nightmare than Pitt’s. Last year’s perfect regular season is just a distant memory after this year’s 4-7 overall record (both SU and ATS) and a 2-4 record SU in conference play. To make matters worse the Bearcats have now lost four out of their last five as they limp into what will be their final game of year.
They have been outscored 182-133 in their last five games and the only reason this number is not worse is because a 69-38 win over Rutgers is sandwiched in between four ugly losses. The Bearcats defense is giving up an average of 28 points a game, ranking them 71st in the nation. The offense is averaging 28.6 points per game, but a dismal 18 points a game in their seven losses. The only bright spot has been the individual performances of RB Isaiah Pead (932 yards rushing) and WR Armon Binns (1,072 yards receiving).
Trends:
Pittsburgh is 2-3 SU in five road games this season but 2-1-2 ATS. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of its last 10 games overall.
Cincinnati is 3-2 both SU and ATS is six games at home this year. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last nine games overall.
Head-to-head, the Panthers have won three out of the last five SU, but the Bearcats have won the last two. Pitt is 4-1 ATS in the last five including covering as a 1 ½ point home favorite in last season’s 45-44 loss.
The Bearcats are a mere shell of last year’s championship team and while Pitt cannot be happy with the way things have gone this year, they are still the better team in this matchup. The fact that they are getting two-points is a pure bonus.
The Pick: Pittsburgh +2
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David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.
