Week 14: UCF Knights vs SMU Mustangs Preview Free College Football Pick
The 2010 CFB Season is rolling into Week 14 here. Welcome to the CappersPicks.com college football weekly predictions pages! We KNOW you will find our FREE weekly college football picks, tips, betting advice, strategies, CFB gambling articles and more to help you become the best College football bettor on your block!!
GRAB THE BEST CFB PREDICTIONS ONLINE WITH OUR EXPERTS’ NCAA FOOTBALL PICKS —–>
Knights at Mustangs
GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP WITH OUR CFB ATS STATS —>
Saturday December 4 – 12:00PM
Bright House Networks Stadium – Orlando, Florida
UCF (9-3) vs SMU (7-5)
Moneyline: UCF -340, SMU +285
Spread Favourite: UCF-9
Over/Under: 54
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!
Central Florida
I have really liked this Central Florida team the last few seasons and especially this year. It is no surprise that they are in the Conference USA championship game looking for their tenth victory. Outside of TCU and Boise State I am not sure you can find a better team outside the BCS right now (sorry Utah). Whether they win or lose whoever gets them in their bowl game better be ready for a fight. This is one C-USA team that is tough.
Ever since George O’Leary took over this team has had one of the best defenses in the conference. This year they have a potent offense too, averaging 35ppg (19th in the nation). All the success they have been having is without a couple of players thought to be critical at the beginning of the season. RB Brynn Harvey hasn’t logged a single carry due to injury and expected starting QB Rob Calabrese has been out for a while as well. Their replacements, Ronnie Weaver and Jeff Godfrey really stepped up.
These two teams have only met twice in 2007 and 2008. Both were victories by UCF, both by double digits. Admittedly SMU was not nearly as good then as they have been since but UCF has just dominated them. Based on the spread many are expecting that to happen again on Saturday. The Knights also have the advantage of playing in their home stadium which is pretty sweet for a championship game. 
SMU
The Mustangs didn’t have as good a season as expected but still wound up in the C-USA Championship game. The key game as it turns out wasn’t putting a scare into TCU but beating Tulsa in an unexpectedly low scoring affair 21-18. That win gave them the tiebreaker they needed even though Tulsa won six in a row afterwards to tie for the division lead while the Mustangs were inconsistent down the stretch.
That same inconsistency is what has plagued QB Kyle Padron throughout the year. When it is least expected he has a poor performance and they are not quite strong enough to overcome. 235 pound RB Zack Line tries to be strong enough on his own but sometimes they forget about him like they did in their loss to UTEP where he had only 11 carries despite ripping off more than 5 yards a clip. Line is red hot right now with 100+ yards in four of his last five games.
SMU definitely has a chance in this one but they might want to flip the script using Line to grab a lead early and try and shorten the game a little. Although they have the firepower to come back if they fall behind, the last thing they want is to become one dimensional on offense. Central Florida is very good and they will have to play a complete game to beat the Knights and win the championship.
The Pick: I like the Knights to win on their home field and be C-USA champs. I just don’t like that spread. A seven spot is what I see here.
College Football Gambling Trends
Knights are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Score Prediction: UCF 31 – SMU 24
CHECK OUT OUR College football betting forums today! Join us today and make College football picks against the spread for all Division 1 NCAA Football matchups!
CFB BETTING SEASON PROMO: A 100% match play bonus for 1st Time players Up To $500. Grab Up to $600 In Free MONEY & Picks! CLICK HERE NOW!!! WTF ARE YOU WAITING FOR?
