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Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Free Week 14 Preview & Pick (Dec. 3)

Week 14: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Miami (Ohio) Redhawks Preview Free College Football Pick

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14th MAC Championship – Huskies at Redhawks

GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP WITH OUR CFB ATS STATS —>
Friday December 3 – 7:00PM
Ford Field – Detroit, Michigan
Northern Illinois (10-2) vs Miami (8-4)
Moneyline: Northern Illinois -1400, Miami +925
Spread Favourite: Northern Illinois -17
Over/Under: 52.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!

Northern Illinois

It may only be the MAC but it is still impressive that the Huskies went undefeated in their conference this season.  Not only did they go 8-0 SU but they were a perfect 8-0 ATS as well so if you had been following them there was money to be made.  Only one league game was as close as a TD and they finished the season by dropping 71 points on Eastern Michigan last week.  No wonder this is the biggest spread in a championship game this weekend.

The Huskies have an underrated potent attack featuring the ground game.  They are 7th in the nation in rushing yards per game and lead back Chad Spann ran for 20 TDs this season.  Granted the competition wasn’t always stellar but by the end of the year they had given up an  average of only 18ppg for an average margin of victory of 21ppg.  This is one of the more dominant MAC squads in a long time.

These two teams did not meet during the regular season but have done so the past two years and both times the Huskies beat the Redhawks.  In fact they have won the last five going back to 2002 but are only 2-3 ATS.  With the large spread another Miami cover might come to fruition on Saturday but an upset seems unlikely.

Miami

The Redhawks may not be the most impressive team up close but they had to win to get here.  Last week they beat Temple by 20 so when Ohio couldn’t get it done against Kent State on Saturday they became the Eastern Division champs with only a single MAC loss.  The stats are not flattering to the Redhawks but they have been able to collect wins throughout the season.

Against Temple QB Austin Boucher started in place of Zac Dysert.  The freshman was effective enough for the Redhawks to win easily and it looks like he will be forced into action again on Saturday.  If that is the case the Redhawks will need another big game from RB Thomas Merriweather.  Merriweather ran for 182 yards last week and has topped 140 the last two.  It is especially impressive given that makes up almost half of his season total.

Miami has enjoyed a nice bounce back season but it is hard to see them winning the Championship.  The Huskies are a tough veteran team with a really solid offensive line.  They held their own against BCS competition which is something Miami really struggled with.  They are the class of the MAC and deserve to be the champions.  I just don’t like that spread for a championship game.

The Pick: Huskies should win easily but I don’t like that big number.  Too much of a backdoor opportunity.

College Football Gambling Trends

Huskies are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Huskies are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Huskies are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Redhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Redhawks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Score Prediction:  Northern Illinois 38 – Miami 24

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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