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Week 13: USF vs. Miami (FL) Preview & Pick

Virginia Cavaliers vs Virginia Tech Hokies Gambling Preview + Predictions

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Week 13: South Florida vs Miami (FL) Preview & Pick

GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP WITH OUR ATS STATS —>
Date: Saturday, November 25, 2010
Venue: Sun Life Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Broadcast: ESPNU
South Florida Bulls at Miami Hurricanes Betting Lines from Betus.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: Miami -11.5
Over/Under: 46.5
Bet Now @ Betus.com!

South Florida Bulls (6-4)

Riding the country’s 103rd-ranked offense, South Florida won three straight games by three points or fewer heading into last week’s showdown with Pittsburgh. But its luck finally ran out against the Panthers. South Florida limited Pitt to 292 yards but couldn’t move the ball itself, totalling just 285 yards. B.J. Daniels, still a work in progress, threw for only 132 yards despite completing 15 passes. He still has more interceptions (12) than touchdowns on the season.

It’s almost a given that South Florida will struggle to score on Miami. So the Bulls have to hope their “D” comes to play. It’s the 25th-rankeed unit in the nation and equally effective against the pass (32nd) and the run (31st). [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Miami Hurricanes (7-4)

Maybe I spoke too soon about Jacory Harris’ job security being in question. Last week against Virginia Tech, backup quarterback Stephen Morris played more like, well, a backup. He completed just 15 of 33 passes for 202 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions.

The Hurricanes are optimistic that Harris (concussion) will return this Saturday against South Florida. He threw two touchdown passes against the Bulls in a 31-10 win almost a year ago to the day. Harris wasn’t perfect this season before getting hurt, tossing 14 touchdown passes with 11 picks, but he can still be competent in a game manager role at worst. The Hurricanes are still a top-25 rushing team in the country and Damien Berry, back healthy, can shoulder the load.

The pick:

I like Miami to cover the 11.5 points. It’s not that I think Harris and the ’Canes will light up a defensively competent team like South Florida; it’s just that I don’t see the Bulls’ popgun offense doing any damage on the road against The U, which has the 20th-best defense in the nation. If South Florida falls behind and has to pass, it’ll be doing so against the third-best pass defense in the country. Miami allows just 145.2 passing yards per game.

Don’t expect a particularly pretty affair but expect a Miami win.

South Florida vs Miami prediction: Miami 24, South Florida 10

Money Line: OFF
Spread: Miami -11.5
Over/Under: UNDER 46.5

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About Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.


Comments

Comments

  1. Haha…nice prediction…but WAAY off from what really happened. Better luck next time…

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