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K-State Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes Week 12 Free Pick

KSU vs CU Gambling Preview + Predictions

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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffalos CFB Lines

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Date/Time: Saturday, November 20, 2:10 PM ET
Venue: Folsom Field, Boulder CO
Broadcast: None
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffalos Betting Lines from JustBet.com
Money Line: Colorado (+120) Kansas State (-140)
Spread: Kansas State -3
Over/Under: 55
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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes Preview

In a Big 12 match up Kansas State (6-4) plays Colorado (4-6), who must win to have any chance to play in a Bowl game this season. College football lines have Colorado as 3-point favorites in this game with a total of 55.

In their last games Colorado beat Iowa State 34-14 while Kansas State lost to Missouri 38-28.

Colorado had a solid win last week, which snapped their 5-game losing streak and gave them their first Big 12 win of the season. They are heading off to the new Pac 12 next season and they must beat Kansas State and then Nebraska in their last game just to be bowl eligible.

Kansas State is already bowl eligible and if they win this game and their last game they can improve their bowl positioning. The Wildcats have lost 3 of their last 4 games and their last loss left them 1 game under .500 in the Big 12. They have a good rushing offense and will have to run the ball to win this game since their passing offense only ranks 100th in the nation. However, the may want to air it out in this game not only because Colorado has a decent run defense, but also because the Buffalos’ pass defense only ranks 112th in the nation.

Heading into this game Kansas State is 6-4 ATS and Colorado is 4-5-1 ATS. Kansas State has covered the spread in their last 5 games against Colorado.

Kansas State racked up 422 yards last week, but the reason Mizzou beat them is that the Wildcats turned the ball over 4 times. They used a well-balanced attack in the game with 235 passing yards and 187 rushing yards, but QB Carson Coffman threw 1 INT and they fumbled the ball 3 times. Backup QB Collin Klein took over for Coffman and he is a run-first QB and rushed for 141 yards in the loss to Mizzou. Coffman will likely get the start this Saturday, especially since the Colorado secondary has been torched all season.

Kansas State RB Daniel Thomas had his streak of 3 straight 100-yard rushing games snapped last week only rushing for 66 yards, but he did average 5.5 yards per carry. The strength of the Wildcats is obviously running the ball and they will be facing a Buffalos’ rushing defense that ranks 35th in the nation. Last week Colorado was dominant in the run defense, as Iowa State had -6 yards on the ground. However, they did give up 235 passing yards, which is a concern for them heading into this game.

Colorado’s offense has played well in the last 2 weeks scoring a combined 79 points. In the Iowa State game the Buffalos had 266 passing yards and 118 rushing yards. QB Cody Hawkins threw 3 TD passes and RB Rodney Stewart rushed for 123 yards and the Wildcats will likely get a big dose of Stewart in this game since their run defense only ranks 119th in the nation out of 120 teams. Last week the Wildcats gave up 232 rushing yards to Missouri, who are not known for their ground attack.

Kansas State’s passing defense ranks 63rd in the nation and they do not feature a strong pass rush. Hawkins will have time to find his targets, but will he have to air it out much if the Wildcats cannot contain Stewart?

Colorado has played well in the last couple games and I think that trend will continue. Both of the Big 12 teams that Kansas State has beat on the road this season have losing records and they will not be able to keep Stewart from having a big game. Look for Colorado to inch closer to a bowl game, as they will score the minor upset and win this game.

Betting Trends

Colorado is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, and has an Under record of 6-4 this season.
Kansas State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite, and has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.

Pick: Colorado +3

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Jason Green is a new contributor to Cappers Picks and is hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of  Cubs fans.

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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.


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