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Mizzou Tigers vs. ISU Cyclones Week 12 Free Pick

Missouri vs Iowa St. Gambling Preview + Predictions

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No 15 Missouri Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones CFB Lines

Go Inside This Matchup With Our CFB ATS Stats —>
Date/Time: Saturday, November 20, 7 PM ET
Venue: Jack Trice Stadium Ames IA
Broadcast: None
Missouri Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Betting Lines from JustBet.com
Money Line: Iowa State (+350) Missouri (-500)
Spread: Missouri -11 ½
Over/Under: 52.5
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No 15 Missouri Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Preview

Iowa State (5-6) must win this game to be eligible to play in a bowl game and to do that they will have to beat 15th ranked Missouri (8-2) this Saturday. College football lines have Missouri as 11.5-point favorites in this game with a total of 52.5.

In their last games Missouri beat Kansas State 38-28 and Iowa State lost to Colorado 34-14.

Iowa State looked as if they would be going bowling, but they failed on a 2-point conversion as time expired 2 weeks ago in the loss to Nebraska and then last week they lost to Colorado, which was the Buffalos first Big 12 game of the season.

Mizzou snapped their 2-game losing streak last week, but it is very unlikely they will get a BCS bowl berth. For that to happen the Tigers will have to win out and Nebraska will have to lose their last 2 games. It is possible, but not probable since Nebraska faces a tough a Texas A&M team this week and host 4-6 Colorado in their season finale.

The Cyclones have not beaten the Tigers since the 2006 season.

This season Missouri is 5-5 ATS and Iowa State is 5-6 ATS. Mizzou has only covered the spread 1 times in their last 5 games against Iowa State.

Not only are Iowa State big 11.5-point home underdogs, but also they will be without their leader in QB Austen Arnaud who is out with a knee injury. Backup Jerome Tiller will get the start and this season he has passed for 208 yards with 1 TD. The Cyclones had 235 passing yards last week in the loss to Colorado, but they struggled running the ball. Struggling may be a tad of an understatement since they had -6 yards. It is not hard to see why the Cyclones are 11.5-point underdogs at home since they are staring a backup QB and they had negative rushing yards last week.

The Cyclones would like to rely on their defense with their offensive struggles, but their D only ranks 92nd in the nation. Last week they gave up 384 yards to Colorado (266 passing yards and 118 rushing yards) and this week face a Missouri team that can light up the scoreboard. QB Blaine Gabbert, who had 208 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT last week, leads Mizzou but the Tigers also lit up Kansas State with 232 rushing yards. The Cyclones will have to play a great game on D, especially if their offense continues to struggle.

Backup QB Tiller will need help from RB Alexander Robinson and last week he only rushed for 22 yards and that snapped his 3-game streak of breaking the 100-yard barrier. The Tigers have the nation’s 60th ranked rushing defense and if they can contain Robinson they will be in good shape.

Tiller will be playing behind a sketchy offensive line that has given up 30 sacks this season, which is not good since the Tigers have 30 sacks on the season and that ranks 6th in the nation. He will need time to find the Cyclones leading receiver in TE Collin Franklin, who played well last week with 118 yards and a TD. However, the Cyclones do not have a great passing offense even with their starting QB, so there is a lot of pressure on RB Robinson in this game.

Missouri simply has too much offense for Iowa State to handle. The Tigers are a legit team while the only team that the Cyclones have beat that currently has a winning record is Northern Iowa. Mizzou will easily win this game and cover the spread and there is a good chance the Cyclones will get blown out.

Betting Trends

Missouri is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite and has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Iowa State is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog, and has an Under record of 9-3 in their last 12 home games.

Pick: Missouri -11.5

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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.