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Miami (OH) vs. Akron Free Week 12 Preview & Pick (Nov. 17)

Week 12: Miami (Ohio) Redhawks vs Akron Zips Preview Free College Football Pick

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Miami (Ohio) Redhawks vs. Akron Zips
GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP WITH OUR CFB ATS STATS —>
Wednesday November 17 – 6:00PM
InfoCision Stadium – Akron, Ohio
Miami (6-4) vs Akron (0-10)
Moneyline: Miami -400, Akron +320
Spread Favourite: Miami +10
Over/Under: 47.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!

Miami (Ohio)

The Redhawks have improved greatly this year and are in the race in the MAC East.  While their rivals Ohio and Temple duke it out Tuesday night they get what should be a layup this week against a winless Akron team.  They finish against Temple and if the Owls beat the Bobcats that will essentially be a divisional playoff game.  The Redhawks are already bowl eligible and are looking for more.

How good the Redhawks really are is a matter of debate.  Their most impressive win this was a 31-10 beating of a bad Colorado State team.  Mostly this team has been just good enough to feast on a weak year in the MAC, especially in the East where only 3 of 8 teams have winning records on the season.  Despite the winning record they are giving up 7 more points than they score on a per game average.  When they have strayed outside the conference they have been beaten badly.

These teams used to meet every year but haven’t met since 2007.  Miami has dominated the series winning 8 of the last 10 but most of that was during an era when they were among the best teams in the conference and sometimes even garnered national recognition.  Akron may be winless to date but the talent gap is likely not as wide as their records this season indicate.

Akron

There really isn’t much to say about the Zips. 

They don’t have a win on the season  and the only time they have really been close was against FBS Gardner-Webb, losing by a point in the second week of the season.  A winless season wasn’t what was expected but neither was much better than that.  After Miami they finish with a home game against Buffalo who is also quite hapless so maybe there is some hope for a victory there.

Even though Akron is winless they are neither the worst team on offense or defense in the nation – but they are pretty close.  Last week against Ball State QB Patrick Nicely had his best day of the season throwing for 4TDs.  That represents more than half of his season total and the Zips are not going to be able to do anything on offense unless he improves.  Nicely has the worst QB rating of any passer with more than 100 attempts this year.  To be honest it isn’t even close.

Although 0-10 straight up the Zips are 3-7 ATS so they are capable of surprising like they did last week when they exploded for 30 points for the first time since week 2.  Given what they have shown thus far another outburst is unlikely but you can’t overestimate the power of trying to avoid winless immortality.

The Pick: I have a hard time believing Akron can keep it close against a team with something to play for.  I’m backing Miami.

College Football Gambling Trends

Redhawks are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Redhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Redhawks are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Zips are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
Zips are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Zips are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Score Prediction:  Miami 27 – Akron 9

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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