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ECU vs. Rice Free Week 12 Preview & Pick (Nov. 20)

On November 20th its the ECU Pirates vs Rice Owls. Odds have the Pirates listed as 9½-point favorites. The game’s total is set at 73, here is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

Week 12: East Carolina Pirates vs Rice Owls Preview Free College Football Pick

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ECU Pirates vs Rice Owls

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Date: Saturday November 20 – 1:00PM
Venue: Rice Stadium – Houston, Texas
Matchup: East Carolina (6-4) vs Rice (2-8)
Moneyline: ECU -350, Rice +290
Spread Favourite:  ECU -9.5
Over/Under:  73
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!

East Carolina

The Pirates may only be 6-4 on the season but their 5-1 record in Conference USA has them tied with Central Florida for the lead in the East Division.  Unfortunately they lost to the Knights earlier in the season so if they want to advance to the conference championship game they are going to have to win out and hope that UCF stumbles.  This week against Rice should be a gimme for an ECU team that has been a pleasant surprise this season.

There is probably no team that has made a smoother transition to the spread offense than the Pirates have this season.  It is especially impressive given that they were breaking in a new coach and signal caller, the latter of which had little experience as an NCAA QB.  Dominique Davis has been fantastic leading the fifth ranked passing attack in the country and an offense averaging 38ppg, good for 12th in the nation.   In a conference known for offense ECU can now compete with the best of them.

These teams have met only three times as conference mates and each time the home team was the victor.  East Carolina has been the favourite in everyone of these games with last year’s spread of 18.5 points being the largest in the series.  Every time ECU has beaten the Owls they have covered the spread and they should feel confident facing a team that is in a noticeable down cycle.

Rice

The Owls may have two wins on the season but they are only a total of 5 points from being winless.  They are about where most expected they would be at the bottom of their division in C-USA and are unlikely to win another game this season.  They still have a chance to play spoiler though so it will be interesting to see how they respond at home on Saturday.

Rice’s biggest problems are on the defensive side of the ball.  They are second worst in the nation against the pass which doesn’t bode well facing ECU’s pass happy attack.  Last week they gave up more than 350 yards through the air to a Tulane team averaging less than 240 passing yards per game.  One can only imagine how ugly it might get on Saturday with the Pirates bombing away.

The Owls best shot is to pound the ball using former Wolverine Sam McGuffie against the Pirates –  with the intent of keeping their offense off the field.  He averages over 4 yards per carry but usually doesn’t tote the rock more than 16 times again.  A couple of weeks ago he broke loose for 178 yards against Tulsa which is the kind of performance they need to stand a chance against East Carolina.

The Pick: I think ECU will jump all over the Owls and never look back.  I have a lot of confidence in a double digit victory with points to spare.

College Football Gambling Trends

Pirates are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Pirates are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Pirates are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Owls are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in November.
Owls are 27-12-3 ATS in their last 42 games as a home underdog.

Score Prediction:  East Carolina 42 – Rice 20

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