Week 12: Houston Cougars vs Southern Miss Eagles Preview Free College Football Pick
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Houston Cougars vs Southern Miss Eagles
GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP WITH OUR CFB ATS STATS —>
Saturday November 20 – 8:00PM
Roberts Stadium – Hattiesburg, Mississippi
Houston (5-5) vs Southern Miss (7-3)
Moneyline: Southern Miss -170, Houston +150
Spread Favourite: Southern Miss -3.5
Over/Under: 65.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!
Houston
The Cougars have had the tale of multiple seasons. They started off alright, then they lost Case Keenum and struggled. Then they found their QB of the future and won…and now they are looking to snap a two game losing streak on the road against the hottest team in the conference. It isn’t impossible but it is going to be a big challenge to beat a Southern Miss team that is still battling for a conference championship.
The Cougars have been battling too but coming up a little bit short the past two weeks in losing back to back home games to UCF and Tulsa. The loss to Tulsa was especially puzzling as QB David Piland threw 5 interceptions against one of the worst passing defenses in the nation. The stats overall were pretty even but no team can overcome that many turnovers…although the Cougars gave it a real shot with chances to win it in the fourth
The Cougars have won 3 of the last 4 between the two teams including 50-43 last season. Prior to that it was all Southern Miss as they dominated in the mid ‘90s and the early part of this decade. It should come as no surprise in C-USA but the key is always offense. Only three times in their last ten meetings has the winner not scored 31 or more points. I have a feeling that number is likely to be surpassed by both teams this weekend. 
Southern Mississippi
The Eagles are feeling very good after upsetting UCF last week on the road. They were 10.5 point underdogs but flipped the script on the Knights winning by 10. They are still a game behind UCF and East Carolina in their division and will be looking back at that one point home loss to UAB for the entire off-season unless something unexpected happens that launches them into the conference championship game.
Southern Miss has been enjoying success despite having their primary weapon unavailable for most of the season. WR DeAndre Jordan has played only once since September but Southern Miss has been putting up solid numbers anyway. Now that he is back they should be even more dangerous as they don’t have to force the ball his way. QB Austin Davis is having a successful season spreading the ball around with 10 receivers with double digit catches.
Houston can be a dangerous opponent, especially when they are counted out. The Eagles aren’t normally thought of as one of the more explosive teams in C-USA but at 34ppg they rank 24th in the nation so they should be able to keep up with Houston if their defense can’t hold the Cougars back. Southern Miss needs this one to break the 7 win mark, a number they have been stuck on for three straight seasons.
The Pick: The Eagles seem likely to win but the real play here is the over. 65.5 points, that should be covered by the end of the third.
College Football Gambling Trends
Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
Golden Eagles are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games in November.
Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Score Prediction. Southern Miss 45 – Houston 41
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