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Toledo vs. NIU Free Week 11 Preview & Pick (Nov. 9)

NCAA Football Odds – Toledo Rockets vs Northern Illinois Huskies Free Pick & Preview

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Toledo Rockets vs Northern Illinois Huskies

Tuesday November 9 – 7:00PM
Brigham Field – DeKalb, Illinois
Toledo (6-3) vs Northern Illinois (7-2)
Moneyline: No moneyline currently posted
Spread Favourite: Northern Illinois -10.5
Over/Under: 50.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!


The Rockets have rebounded nicely and are enjoying a pretty good season.  It wasn’t pretty after an opening loss to Arizona but they are 5-0 in the MAC and their battle with the Huskies this week should determine the divisional champion and a spot in the championship game.  With only two games left on the schedule the winner this week will be primed for that spot and hold the all important tie breaker.

Toledo’s stats on the season are a bit misleading as two of their losses were so bad that the short seasonal averages don’t do them much justice.  In their three losses to Arizona, Wyoming and Boise State they gave up more than 100 points while scoring only 31.  Those number make their averages of 25ppg both scored and allowed look like they should be a .500 team not one cruising through the MAC.  All of their conference wins have been by at least a TD and they have a win against Purdue as well.

Toledo won last year and has won three of the last four in the series going 3-1 ATS in the process.  Toledo has dominated the series going back even further than that too going 8-2 SU and ATS which is a bit surprising because the two teams are usually among the tougher outs in the MAC and not among the weaklings.

Northern Illinois

The Huskies were supposed to represent the league well this season with a stout offensive line and a strong running game.  They did beat Minnesota but I think that games against Iowa State and Illinois were lost opportunities.  Although, if they had won both of those they would be perfect right now and that might be a bit of a stretch for these guys.  They are perfect in the MAC though and have the home advantage in this critical tilt.

The Huskies want to wear you down.  They have the 11th ranked rushing offense in the nation and lead running back Chad Spann already has 1000 yards and 12 TDs.  This team can pass when it has to though.  QB Chandler Harnish is efficient, completing 67% of his passes and is also the teams second leading rusher with almost 600 yards on the season.  He is an underrated dual threat QB.

Northern Illinois has been a good bet this year at 6-2-1 ATS.  They have not lost at home all season and are fortunate to have this important contest on their home turf.  Just like Toledo they finish with an easy couple of games so this is the one that can push them into the MAC championship game.

The Pick: I like UNI to win but all those points worries me.  I think this will be a tighter one score game.  A great spot for a backdoor cover.

College Football Gambling Trends

Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Rockets are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
Huskies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Huskies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Huskies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Score Prediction:  Northern Illinois 31 – Toledo 27

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.



  1. HuskersBusker41 says:

    NIU’s tailback Chad Spann is a beast and I like him to go off against Toledo at home. Junior pivot Chandler Harnish also flies under the radar. I agree the Huskies will win but I think it could be by a wider margin.