Virginia Tech Hokies vs North Carolina Tar Heels Gambling Preview + Predictions
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Week 11: Virginia Tech vs North Carolina Preview & Pick
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Date: Saturday, November 13, 2010
Venue: Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Broadcast: ABC/ESPN/ESPN-GP
Virginia Tech Hokies at North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Lines from Betus.com
Money Line: Virginia Tech -170, North Carolina +150
Spread: Virginia Tech -3.5
Over/Under: 52
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(16) Virginia Tech Hokies (7-2)
Week after week, the Virginia Tech Hokies keep tacking on wins. It almost feels like they’ve been as good as any team in the country since the bizarre 0-2 start, doesn’t it? Then again, aside from N.C. State on the road, their schedule hasn’t been too tough. Four straight home games against Central Michigan, Wake Forest, Duke and Georgia Tech? Pretty cushy. We’ll learn a lot more about the Hokies when they hit the road for North Carolina and Miami (FL) over the next two weeks.
Virginia Tech’s defense faced a pretty tough test against Georgia Tech and the triple option. It passed…sort of. It scraped out the win but the Yellow Jackets were moving the ball on them before Josh Nesbitt left with a broken arm. Last week, the Hokies faced a run-first team with a non-existent passing offense. They should get the reverse this week against North Carolina. That could play more into Virginia Tech’s hands, as it’s 22nd in the country against the pass. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Averaging 36 points per game, Virginia Tech’s offense continues to roll. Perhaps most impressive is its versatility. Tyrod Taylor has 16 touchdown passes and four interceptions but also leads the team with 584 rushing yards. Against the Yellow Jackets last week, four different Virginia Tech players had at least seven carries and at least 30 rushing yards.
North Carolina Tar Heels (6-3)
Since the NCAA problem left them decimated and 0-2 at the start of 2010, North Carolina is 6-1. The Tar Heels have ridden an outstanding effort from quarterback T.J. Yates. He’s completed 66.4 per cent of his passes for 2,312 yards and 15 touchdowns. Last week, he lit up Florida State for 439 yards and three scores. That effort was particularly impressive since UNC ran the ball so poorly. The Seminoles essentially knew when Yates was throwing yet he beat them anyway.
North Carolina wasn’t perfect by any means on “D” against Florida State, allowing 35 points, including three passing touchdowns from Christian Ponder. The Tar Heels are average defensively, ranking 43rd in the country with 343.8 yards allowed per game.
The pick:
I think the Hokies finally get knocked off their high horse this week. They could arrive in Chapel Hill overconfident or even complacent after four straight home games. Meanwhile, North Carolina is playing with a chip on its shoulder. It won a tough game at Florida State last week and should relish the support of its home crowd.
Expect an entertaining, back-and-forth war with both quarterbacks shining, much like we saw in UNC’s game last week. And I like the T.J. Yates show to prevail again.
Virginia Tech vs North Carolina prediction: North Carolina 27, Virginia Tech 24
Money Line: North Carolina +150
Spread: Virginia Tech -3.5
Over/Under: UNDER 52
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