NCAA Football Odds – San Diego State Aztec vs Texas Christian Horned Frogs Free Pick & Preview
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San Diego State Aztec vs Texas Christian Horned Frogs
GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP WITH OUR ATS STATS —>
Saturday November 13 – 4:00PM
Amon G. Carter Stadium – Fort Worth, Texas
San Diego State (7-2) vs TCU (10-0)
Moneyline: TCU -5000, SDSU +2500
Spread Favourite: TCU -27
Over/Under: 53.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!
San Diego State
The Aztecs have only one conference loss on the season so if they could somehow beat TCU this weekend they could actually compete for the Mountain West crown. As unlikely as that seems it is indicative of how good a season they are having. Their two losses are to Mizzou and BYU by a total of only 6 points. This is a program on the rise and could easily fill the vacuum left by Utah’s departure to the PAC 10.
SDSU is thriving because they have one the best and most balanced offenses in the country. QB Ryan Lindley is continuing to progress and is made to look good by one of the best WR duos in the nation in Demarco Sampson and Vincent Brown. Those guys were a given but the emergence of freshman Ronnie Hillman, who already have over 1000 yards, really challenges defensive coordinators. He may be their best back since a guy named Marshall Faulk.
The Aztecs haven’t beaten TCU since joining the Mountain West. There is no real surprise there but it might be helpful to know that they are 2-3 ATS over those 5 contests. They have never been favoured in a game against the Horned Frogs and this year is the biggest spread in this series. SDSU is enjoying their best season in a long time but beating a time as good as TCU on the road is very unlikely. However, they can show the nation something by playing them tough. 
TCU
Wow! I didn’t see that coming. The Horned Frogs absolutely dismantled Utah last week leapfrogging Boise State in the BCS standings in the process. They are only two games away from another perfect regular season and this week against SDSU will pose a far greater challenge than their finale against New Mexico. I am surprised that the schedule makers didn’t try to make it a little more dramatic at the end for the sake of the conference.
The Horned Frogs defense has been impressive all season long but was even more so last week. Utah owns one of the most prolific offenses in the country and they held them to less than 200 yards and only 7 points. They shutout the Utes for 3 quarters so by the time they put those 7 points on the board the game was already over. I know some people might now be questioning how good Utah really is but I think this might have been the single most dominant performance of the season given the calibre of the competition.
As mentioned earlier ,TCU has never lost to the Aztecs and it seems unlikely this is a spot where that will change. The Horned Frogs are in an unusual positionin that there was so much build up for last week’s game but it wound up being a cakewalk. Was it due to superior preparation or talent? We can’t be sure but the fact that it was so easy means that whatever hangover they might have experienced should be minimized right? It was simply business as usual for one the best teams in America.
The Pick: TCU is still fighting to get into the championship game and I think their coach is aware of it. They are going to look to make another statement with their play but it going to be hard to top last week. I am going to pass here and wait to back the Horned Frogs in the championship game (Bold prediction).
College Football Gambling Trends
Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Aztecs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Aztecs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Score Prediction: TCU 49 – SDSU 10
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