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TCU vs. Utah Free Week 10 Preview & Pick (Nov. 6)

On Saturday November 6th its the TCU Horned Frogs vs Utah Utes. Odds have the Frogs listed as 4.5-point favorites. The game’s total is not set at 51, here is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

NCAA Football Odds – TCU Horned Frogs vs Utah Utes Free Pick & Preview

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Texas Christian vs Utah

Saturday November 6 – 3:30PM
Rice-Eccles Stadium – Salt Lake City, Utah
TCU (9-0) vs Utah (8-0)
Moneyline: TCU -200, Utah +165
Spread Favourite: TCU -4.5
Over/Under: 51
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!

TCU

All the work that the Horned Frogs have done this season was to get to this point.  Win and they state their case boldly for a spot in the Championship game.  Lose and they wind playing South Carolina in the Cotton Bowl or something like that.  Some were questioning the Horned Frogs early in the season because they weren’t beating teams by enough but their defense has really sharpened up since then, their last 5 victories have all been by a minimum of 27 points.

I have to admit I just love rattling off TCU’s defensive statistics.  They are first in the nation in points allowed, yards allowed and passing yards allowed.  They rank only 9th in rushing yards allowed but limited Air Force the nations second best rushing to team to 180 yards when they beat them a couple of weeks ago.  That my sound like a lot but it is 150 yards below their season average.  This defense, despite graduation losses, is dominating teams and it is the best reason why what could be a close game could also be a blow out.

TCU and Utah have been the leading teams in the MWC for the last several years.  Both have had undefeated regular seasons and played in BCS games which is why it is surprising that the Utes hold a decided 5-2 edge in the series since 1996.  TCU hasn’t won at Utah in that time period but the Horned Frogs do own the largest margin of victory beating Utah 55-28 last year.  You can bet that add a little sizzle to the contest.

Utah

Some may be surprised that Utah is undefeated as they clash with TCU this Saturday though I can’t imagine why.  The Utes were favoured and won their opener against Pitt and have been favoured in every game since.  Not only have they been winning but if you have been backing the Utes you have been cashing tickets as well, they are a fantastic 6-1-1 ATS this season.  Only their last game against Air Force has even been close since the opener.

While other teams may have stronger offensive reputations than the Utes, they have been mauling opponents putting up an amazing 45ppg.  I think the reason that Utah is so underrated is they they really share on offense.  They split the carries among two tailbacks and even play two QBs most games.  This team may not produce a lot of highlight reel moments but they are creative and faster than you think which is why they are having so much success.

A lot of that success has been against TCU in the past both at home and on the road.  These two along with Boise State are the reason there has been so much noise about the BCS process of late with the Utes having won both of their BCS games in the past.  They are looking for revenge from last year’s loss to TCU and this game has extra meaning as it will be the last time these two meet as members of the same conference due to Utah’s departure to the PAC 10 beginning next season.

The Pick: There are two great teams and it would be cool if they could play a three game series.  But in a single game I think you have to favour the team with the better defense which is definitely TCU.

College Football Gambling Trends

Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Horned Frogs are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 conference games.
Horned Frogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Horned Frogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Utes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Utes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Utes are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Utes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Utes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Score Prediction:  TCU 31 – Utah 24

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