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Week 1: Minnesota vs. Middle Tennessee St. Preview & Pick

Minnesota vs MTSU Gambling Preview + Predictions

Kyle Hunter

Kyle Hunter

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Date/Time: Thursday September 2 – 7:30PM
Venue: Floyd Stadium
Minnesota  (0-0) vs. MTSU (0-0) Lines
MoneyLine: Minnesota (-135) Middle Tennessee State (+115)
CFB betting favorite: Golden Gophers -3
Over/Under: 48.5
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The Golden Gophers were last in the Big Ten in points scored per game and yards per game on offense in 2009. Losing Eric Decker is bound to hurt their production, and the team’s weakness at running back is amazing for a Big Ten squad. This is not a team that can simply line up and run it down your throat.

The Golden Gophers defense is decent, especially in the front seven. The secondary is extremely inexperienced and could prove to be a problem against teams that have prolific passing games. The defense will probably be counted on to keep this team in the game because of the inconsistent offense.

Tim Brewster was considered a great hire after he appeared to be turning the Golden Gophers into formidable opponent just two years ago, but the times have changed quickly. Brewster is starting to receive some heat, because at this point the program has taken steps backward from the time Glen Mason was let go.

Adam Weber has started at quarterback since his freshman year and he should know the offense well, but his numbers have actually gotten worse. MarQueis Gray is a highly touted recruit who may see the field more this year if Weber doesn’t help the offense put up some more points.

Middle Tennessee State

Rick Stockstill has done a great job building up this Middle Tennessee State team. The Blue Raiders have finished near the top of the conference in both of the last two years, but they just haven’t been able to beat the Troy Trojans. They’ll get a chance at home this year, and many consider MTSU the favorite in the Sun Belt Conference. College Football

Just a couple of days ago the entire complexion of this team and this matchup changed drastically. Dwight Dasher, the Blue Raiders quarterback and best player, was suspended for accepting benefits that violate NCAA rules. The Blue Raiders have no idea how long Dasher will be gone and they have written a letter to the NCAA to try to get him reinstated, but it appears they will be without his services for a little while.

The Blue Raiders must settle on a new starting quarterback for the game Thursday night. It appears Logan Kilgore will get the first look. No doubt, the Blue Raiders will be hurting without Dasher, but they are still a solid team.

Middle Tennessee State has a great offensive line and a secondary that should make throwing on them very difficult. The wide receivers are raw, but they do have quite a bit of talent.

This is a huge game for the Blue Raiders and the entire Sun Belt Conference. On the opening night of the college football season a Sun Belt team has a legitimate shot to take down a Big Ten opponent. Can they do it without their leader?

College Football Gambling Trends

Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Middle Tennessee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Middle Tennessee’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Middle Tennessee’s last 13 games at home
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road

The Pick:

If Dasher were playing I would have picked the Blue Raiders to win this one. Without Dasher, I believe the best value is the under. Both offenses will have many question marks and the defenses should be a step ahead.

Minnesota vs. Middle Tennessee State Score Prediction: Minnesota 20 MTSU 17

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About Kyle Hunter

Kyle Hunter sports picks – A degree in finance and a great ability to follow important trends and statistics set him apart from the rest. Totals are Kyle's specialty, so look for a lot of totals picks from NBA, NCAAF, & the NFL. Check out his plays today.