New Mexico St. Aggies vs. UCLA Bruins Gambling Prediction & Week 4 Preview

New Mexico State Aggies vs. UCLA Bruins NCAA Football Odds

The UCLA Bruins are coming off of a big-time win over the Nebraska Cornhuskers, and as a result, they’re the No. 13 team in the country entering Week 4. Needless to say, the New Mexico State Aggies won’t be the toughest team the Bruins face this season, and they’re 0-3 at this point in the year.

New Mexico State (0-3) @ No. 13 UCLA (2-0)
Saturday, Sept. 21, 10:30 PM ET @ Rose Bowl
Moneyline: N/A 
Spread: UCLA -42 
O/U: 66.5
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This is the same Aggies team that gave up 715 yards to the Texas longhorns in Week 1, and they’re going up against a crew that is averaging almost 50 points per contest thus far.

New Mexico State

The Aggies’ defense has been brutal up to this point. They’re giving up 47.3 points per contest, which puts them at 126th in the nation. Additionally, they’re 111th in total defense, which is going to be a problem against UCLA.

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If the defense weren’t bad enough, the offense is hardly doing enough to make up the defense. The team is averaging just 16.3 points per game, which is only good enough for 114th in the country. On the plus side, the team has been a middle-of-the-pack squad passing. It’s putting up 264.7 yards per game through the air, but it’s been at the cost of the running game.

Against UCLA, the Aggies must establish the run. Keeping the Bruins’ defense honest will be key to keeping it close, as right now they’re posting just 102 rushing yards per game, making them fairly easy to predict. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

As much as New Mexico State must get the running game going, King Davis III will be the weapon of choice on offense. At the quarterback position, the true freshman has been something of a silver lining during an 0-3 start, and his play-making ability has earned him the nod in this matchup.

UCLA

Barring a total collapse from the Bruins, this one should go to the home team. That said, UCLA must keep a close eye on Davis, as he has the chance to test the defense both on the ground and through the air.

This team has started the season 2-0 with an average win margin of 29 points. Say what you want about their first half against No. 23 Nebraska, but the squad from Los Angeles showed up in the second half and ended up winning by 20 points on the road.

So long as this team doesn’t make mental mistakes, it should be just fine. It’s averaging 49.5 points per game thus far—good enough for seventh league-wide—and it is balancing its attack with 298 yards per contests through the air and 277.5 on the ground. This group is also allowing just 20.5 points to its opponents.

If all goes according to plan, the Bruins should take this one without much trouble. Jim Mora’s squad has impressed thus far, and it’s well-deserving of its high ranking at this point in the year. New Mexico State has only won 13 games in the past five seasons, and chances are, it will be 0-4 by the time this one’s all said and done.

Score Prediction: UCLA 50 – New Mexico State 13