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New Mexico State Aggies 2014 NCAA Football Gambling Odds & Predictions

2014-15 Season Previews – (Independant) Aggies

The New Mexico State Aggies last put together a winning record in 2002 – one of just three winning seasons since 1978. The boys in Las Cruces just aren’t accustomed to winning, and it doesn’t seem the folks in charge have any idea as to how to formulate a winning culture around the program.

The team is coming off a 2-10 season with a pair of unimpressive wins over Abilene Christian and Idaho. It’s on head coach Doug Martin’s shoulders to turn things around, and he has a lot of work to accomplish that feat.

New Mexico St.

2014 Preview: New Mexico State Aggies
Coach: Doug Martin
2013 Record: 2-10
New Mexico State Aggies gambling odds to win BCS Field 100/1
Aggies

For Coach Martin, step one would have to be figuring out something that the Aggies can hang their hat on, much in the way the service academies have with their respective running games. Martin has tried to work the Pistol offense into the Aggies’ repertoire, while putting the defense into a situation to make more big plays, but personnel is an issue on both sides of the ball.

The team’s top player from a year ago, wide receiver Austin Franklin, left for the NFL. Some contenders for quarterback jobs have been moved to the defensive side of the ball. And the team also loses its top running backs, which leaves the offense in a definite state of flux.

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The running game will need to do its best to stay behind junior guard Isaiah Folasa-Lutui who is its best asset at the moment. He’s the team’s best run blocker and best interior blocker, period. Junior college transfer Tyler Rogers at quarterback will need to keep the chains moving with his arm.

A year ago, it was the team’s defense that was an even bigger problem, as that unit finished dead last in the country, and now returns only four starters. The key this year will be the team’s front seven and whether or not they can do a somewhat respectable job of stopping the run.

The team endures a lot of turnover up front, and will replace each of its starting linebackers. It’s going to take some time for the coaching staff to find a group that works. The team finished dead last in the country at defending the run, allowing nearly 3,600 yards and 45 touchdowns, allowing a generous 6.86 yards per carry. Outside of the team’s two wins, each of the team’s other 10 opponents scored at least two rushing touchdowns.

The unit allowed over 300 yards five times, allowing Rice to run for 409 yards and five touchdowns and giving up 541 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground against New Mexico.
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The boys up front also need to figure out a way to get to the quarterback, as the Aggies were able to generate only 11 sacks a year ago. Combine that with just 47 tackles for loss and that spells a unit that simply cannot get into the backfield and make plays.

Sophomore linebacker Rodney Butler will be called upon to make more big plays. He is coming off a disappointing season, but needs to establish himself as a leader on that side of the ball.

2014 New Mexico State gambling prediction: 3-9

Playing in the Sun Belt means a schedule that isn’t overly imposing. The team gets Louisiana-Lafayette and Louisiana-Monroe at home as part of a three-game home stand in November. Only three of the team’s on the Aggies’ schedule went bowling a year ago.

Going into Death Valley to take on LSU is obviously not a game the team will be expected to win, but at least it will earn the program a big payday. Road games at Georgia State and Idaho are both winnable contests, and the team will need to come up with some victories in their home contests to pull off a respectable season.

2014 New Mexico State schedule:

  • 8/28 Cal Poly
  • 9/6 at Georgia State
  • 9/13 at Texas-El Paso
  • 9/20 New Mexico
  • 9/27 at Louisiana State
  • 10/4 Georgia Southern
  • 10/11 at Troy
  • 10/18 at Idaho
  • 11/1 Texas State
  • 11/8 Louisiana-Lafayette
  • 11/22 Louisiana-Monroe
  • 11/29 at Arkansas State

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