Nebraska vs Michigan St. Odds & Prediction
With Nebraska’s (6-2) win over Michigan last week they are in the driver’s seat in the Big 12 Leaders Division and while they do not face a ranked tam the rest of the season facing Michigan State (4-4) at home will be a tough test.
Venue/ Stadium: Spartan Stadium, EAST LANSING, MI
Time/Date: 3:30 PM EST Saturday, November 3, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Nebraska -135 / MSU +115
Spread: Nebraska -2
Over/Under: 44.5
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No. 20 Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan State Spartans Preview
The Huskers are won 2 straight games and after 2 close losses the Spartans got back in the W column in their last game beating a ranked Wisconsin team. NCAAF lines have Nebraska as slight 2-point away favorites with a total of 44.5.
In their last games Nebraska beat Michigan 22-9 and Michigan State beat Wisconsin 16-13 in OT.
On the season Nebraska is 4-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-3 and Michigan State is 3-6 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 1-7-1.
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Nebraska is the favorite in this game, but they are only 1-2 on the road this season.
Nebraska may be without RB Rex Burkhead, who has a knee injury, but the Huskers still have Ameer Abdullah and dual-threat QB Taylor Martinez, who have a combined 1,177 rushing yards and 14 TD’s. They will be facing a MSU rushing defense that ranks 7th in the nation and totally stuffed the run against Wisconsin only giving up 19 rushing yards.
The running game is the strength of the Huskers, but Martinez can air it out and he has a good WR corps. He has to avoid the turnover facing MSU and their 14th ranked, as he has 4 INT in his last 2 games.
Nebraska has played great D in their last 2 games giving up a total of less than 500 combined yards and they have really excelled on 3rd down D. MSU does not have a dynamic offense, but QB Andrew Maxwell had a solid game against Wisconsin passing for 216 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT. RB Le’Veon Bell ranks 15th in the nation averaging 117.9 rushing yards per game. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
While Nebraska has a solid pass defense ranking 8th in the nation, but while their run defense was solid against Wisconsin they only rank 82nd in the nation.
These teams have met 6 times, but not since 2005 and the Huskers are 6-0 all time facing the Spartans.
In some betting trends for this Big 12 match up Nebraska is 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, and they have an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 conference games.
Michigan State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games, 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Jason’s Pick: I think Nebraska will struggle on the road again, as Bell will have a good game as will the Spartans’ defense. Michigan State will move to over .500 with a win in this conference match up.
