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NC State Wolfpack vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Music City Bowl Preview & Free Pick

NC State Wolfpack vs. Vanderbilt Commodores NCAA Football Spread/Handicapping

After the first half of the season Vanderbilt looked far from a bowl team sitting at 4-2, but they ended the season red-hot winning their last 6 games of the season even though they were 0-3 facing ranked teams this season.

Venue/ Stadium: LP Field, NASHVILLE, TN
Time/Date: 12 PM EST Monday, December 31, 2012
NFL Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Vandy -7
Over/Under:  52

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NC State Wolfpack vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Preview

After the first half of the season Vanderbilt looked far from a bowl team sitting at 4-2, but they ended the season red-hot winning their last 6 games of the season even though they were 0-3 facing ranked teams this season.

NC State was up and down this season, but they won 2 of their last 3 games and they scored one of the biggest shocks of the season handing Florida State their first loss of the season.

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NCAAF lines have Vanderbilt as 7-point favorites with a total of 52.

In their last games Vanderbilt beat Wake Forrest 55-21 and NC State beat Boston College 27-10.

This season NC State is 5-6-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-7 and Vanderbilt is 8-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-6.

For NC State’s offense it is mostly about the pass with QB Mike Glennon, who may be one of the first QB’s taken in the next NFL draft. He led the ACC with 3,648 passing yards and also had 30 TD’s. His main targets are WR’s Quintin Payton and Tobais Palmer, who each averaged over 14 yards per catch this season.

Vanderbilt has a great pass defense ranking 10th in the nation and for the whole season they only gave up 6 passing TD.

Shadrach Thornton missed his first 3 games this season, but he ended well with 3 straight games rushing for over 100 yards and he may get more touches in this game facing a Vandy run defense that ranks 51st in the nation. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Vanderbilt QB Jordan Rodgers has a solid WR corps led by SEC record setter Jordan Matthews (87 rec 1,262 yards 7 TD). Rodgers passed for 2 TD in each of his last 5 games on the season and there is a good chance he will keep that streak alive since the Wolfpack only rank 94th in the nation defending the pass.

Vandy RB Zac Stacy rushed for over 1,000 yards this season averaging 5.7 yards per carry and in the season finale win over Wake Forrest he rushed for 180 yards. North Carolina State ranks 59th in the nation in run defense.

In some betting trends for the Music City Bowl NC State is 7-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games, and they have an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Vanderbilt is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games, and they have an Over record of 8-2 in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.

Jason’s Pick: Vandy is hot and they will stay hot, as with the weak NC State defense the Commodores will win this game and cover the spread.

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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.


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