Michigan St. vs Wisconsin Odds & Prediction
Many thought this game would have BCS implications, but each lost early in the season and Michigan State (4-4) has lost 3 of their last 4 games and they are only 1-3 in Big 10 play. Wisconsin (3-1) is still in the Big 10 title and BCS picture, as they trail Penn State and Ohio State, who the Badgers play in their last 2 games.
Venue/ Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium, MADISON, WI
Time/Date: 3:30 PM EST Saturday, October 27, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: MSU +220 / Wisconsin -260
Spread: Wisconsin -6.5
Over/Under: 41.5
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers Preview
After facing 3 ranked teams already the Spartans do not face another after Wisconsin so if they can run the table they will play in a good bowl game. NCAAF lines have Wisconsin as a 6.5-point home favorite with a total of 41.5.
In their last games Wisconsin beat Minnesota 38-13 while Michigan State lost to Michigan 12-10.
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This season Michigan State is 2-6 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 1-6-1 and Wisconsin is 4-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-2.
While the Spartans have a good WR corps QB Andrew Maxwell has struggled in the last couple of games failing to pass for over 200 yards and in that time he has 2 INT and only 1 TD. The Spartans will be up against a pass defense that ranks 31st in the nation.
With the passing game struggles Le’Veon Bell (984 yards 8 TD) must play well and he did not run well in the loss to Michigan after rushing for over 100 yards in 2 games straight. Wisconsin’s pass defense ranks a legit 23rd in the nation.
The main reason the Badgers have won 3 straight is because of their defense, which has only given up an average of just over 13 ppg. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
The main goal of the MSU defense has to contain start Wisconsin RB Montee Ball, who has been tearing it up in the Badgers’ 3-game winning streak. He hurt his ankle in the Minnesota game, but will go in this one.
Joel Stave leads the Badgers’ passing attack, but Wisconsin does not air it out often and he only has a combined 284 passing yards in his last 2 games.
Michigan State ranks in the top 20 in both pass and run defense, but they have to get it going on offense, as in their last 2 games, which were both losses, they have failed to score over 19 points.
In some betting trends for this Big 10 match up Michigan State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games, and they have an Over record of 15-6 in their last 21 games.
Wisconsin is 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 home games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, and they have an Over record of 9-1 in their last 10 home games.
Jason’s Pick: Michigan State has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Wisconsin, but that trend will not continue. Ball will have a big game and the Badgers’ D will play well at home, as Wisconsin will win this game and cover the spread.
