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Hawaii Warriors vs. Air Force Falcons Free Gambling Prediction & Week 12 Preview

Rainbow Warriors vs Falcons NCAA Football Spread/Handicapping

While Texas A&M is getting headlines this week about how smart their move was to the SEC nobody is talking about how bad Hawaii has been since moving to the Mountain West Conference.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (1-8) vs Air Force Falcons (5-5)
Friday November 16
Falcon Stadium – Colorado Spring, CO
Moneyline:  Air Force -2400, Hawaii +1375 from Bovada
Spread:  Air Force -23.5
O/U:  63

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In the WAC they were a middle tier program with some nice moments but this year, a down year, was the worst time to make a move up in competition.  They have yet to win a conference game this season and are actually looking up in the standings at schools like New Mexico and UNLV.

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Hawaii is one of the worst programs anywhere right now, their lone win is against Lamar.  The Rainbow Warriors used to be one of the most pass happy teams around, setting records every season but under new management they have changed philosophies and it hasn’t worked out at all.  The always suspect defense is giving up 43 points per game so you have seen some big numbers in games against the team from the Big Island.

The Rainbows are so bad that this is actually the smallest number in three weeks.  This team is 1-7 ATS with the won being their opening game against USC – a 39 point loss.  You can’t count on an inspired offensive or defensive performance so you can’t back Hawaii under any circumstances really.  They are just playing out the string and on the road.  Stay away. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Air Force

The Falcons are usually good for 8 wins but that total might elude them this season.  They are competing well in the Mountain West with a 4-2 conference record (just behind a few one loss teams) but losing to both Army and Navy have set them back overall.  This team has really struggled with consistency and that is probably part of the reason they are a brutal 3-7 ATS this year.  They are just a hard team to figuring out.  Keeping it close in the Big House and then being dreadful at Army.

Air Force will be happy to return home after two straight road losses.  Using their triple option attack this team is second in the nation in rushing – with close to 340 yards per game.  They are great at spreading the ball around with 5 players with more than 400 yards rushing on the season, all of whom average more than 4 yards per carry.  Against Hawaii they shouldn’t have much reason to put the ball in the air, which is a good thing.

While Air Force has been an awful play on the road (1-4 ATS) they have been better at home.  They should be able to march up and down the field against Hawaii even though the Rainbows will know exactly what is coming.  I would like to see that number come down a bit but I think Air Force needing one more win to become bowl eligible will be focused.

Spread Pick:  Air Force +23.5
O/U Pick:  Under
Score Prediction:  Air Force 38 – Hawaii 9


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East Tennessee State v. Wofford
Syracuse v. Pittsburgh
Rhode Island v. Fordham
Indiana State v. Southern Illinois
Arkansas State v. UL - Lafayette

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.