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Week 12 Baylor vs. Texas Tech Betting Odds & Free Pick

Bears vs Red Raiders College Football Lines

The Baylor Bears continue on their BCS Championship trek as the Texas Tech Red Raiders ride into Arlington, Texas to end their three game skid.

Texas Tech (7-3) vs Baylor Bears (8-0)
When: Saturday, November 16th, 2013, 7:00 PM ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Broadcast: FOX
Spread: Baylor Bears -27
O/U: 85

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Texas Tech Red Raiders

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are an absolute mess right now. After starting the year at 7-0 the sky has fallen on the Red Raiders as they’ve lost three in a row. And it doesn’t get any easier for Texas Tech. In the middle of a three game losing streak they now have to play, arguably, the hottest team in college football right now, the Baylor Bears.

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While Texas Tech have still put up the points, offensively at quarterback they’ve struggled. Davis Webb and Baker Mayfield just haven’t clicked. Both Webb and Mayfield have combined for 24 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. With no real threat or attempt to establish a running game they are a one dimensional offense and that offense is pretty pedestrian. Really, it’s amazing how they’re still putting points on the board. Even during this three game losing streak they are averaging 30 points per game.

Defensively, they haven’t been good all year and they’ve been even worse during this three game losing streak. In particular, on the ground as they’ve allowed 849 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns. Look for Baylor to have a lot of success on the ground in this game.

Baylor Bears

Is there a team hotter than the Baylor Bears? I don’t think there is. After starting the year unranked the Baylor Bears now sit undefeated and ranked number 5 in the BCS. Not only that, but they supposedly – up to this point – took on their toughest test on paper in Oklahoma and ran them out of the building. And it’s worth pointing out Baylor didn’t have all their stars healthy for the entire game.

Wide receiver Tevin Reese (103.0 average receiving yards a game, and 8 touchdowns) didn’t play in the 2nd half of the Oklahoma game due to a dislocation in his right wrist. Halfback Lache Seastrunk, who ranks number 1 in rushing yards per game in the Big 12, left the game early versus the Sooners. As did Glasco Martin. In stepped in freshman Shock Linwood who carried the ball 23 times for 182 yards.
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The Baylor Bears have a lot of depth and a lot of talent that they didn’t miss a beat versus the Sooners and I don’t believe they will miss a beat versus the Red Raiders.

Now, while the Baylor offense is impressive, it’s their defense that makes them stand out. I remember watching this team last year in the first half of the season. They were giving up huge chunks of yards and huge points per game. Including, that game versus West Virginia where they lost by a basketball score of 70-63. In the second half of the season, though, things changed. They just started playing better, they got hot and carried that into their bowl victory versus the UCLA Bruins.

Not only did they carry it into the bowl game, they’ve carried it into the season. The Baylor Bears defense has only allowed 15.3 points per game and in conference games they’ve allowed only 20 points. Which includes West Virginia putting up 42 points, as well.

Danny’s FREE College Football Pick:

All in all, I like Baylor in this game. Texas Tech have been bad of late, but even going back to their seven game winning streak they were shaky. Looking back on it, some of those good wins at the time aren’t so good now. Struggling at home versus TCU at the time was fine, because TCU was still projected to be a middle to top Big 12 team, but they aren’t.

TCU is third to last in the conference. Even beating Iowa State at home has lost some luster on it as well. Baylor, Oklahoma State, and Kansas State all blew out Iowa State. Texas Tech couldn’t even at home. An Iowa State team that is last in the Big 12.

So, Texas Tech you can say were fool’s gold. They were a very shaky, weak 7-0 team. It was just a matter of time before they would get exposed, you can say. I look at this game and I don’t see 27 points being enough.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Baylor put up 21 to 28 points in the first quarter. Texas Tech doesn’t run the ball, they throw the ball and incomplete passes, obviously, stop the clock and when the clock stops an offense has more possessions and more opportunities to score. When you give Baylor more possessions, more often than not they score.

I’m looking for Baylor to really impress everyone again by putting up a lot of points on Texas Tech. I think Baylor’s defense impresses as well, I believe they fly around and more a less keep the Red Raider offense in check.

Still, I’ve got the Red Raiders some how scoring some points, maybe even getting over 30, but not enough to cover the spread.

Pick: Baylor Bears -27
Prediction: Baylor Bears 63 – Texas Tech 28

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