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Emerald Bowl: Eagles vs. Trojans Predictions

The Boston College Eagles and the Southern Cal Trojans will both be gunning for a victory when they meet at AT&T Park in the Emerald Bowl. Oddsmakers currently have the Trojans listed as 9-point favorites versus the Eagles, while the game’s total is sitting at 44…

2009 EMERALD BOWL – BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES (8-4) vs. USC TROJANS (8-4)

Event: Emerald Bowl
Date: Saturday, Dec. 26, 8:00 pm EST
Site: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
MY Sportsbook.com LINE: USC -9

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Team records:
Boston College: 8-4 SU, 6-5 ATS
Southern Cal: 8-4 SU, 3-9 ATS

Preview:

This Golden Gate battle is a story of a middling ACC power versus a program perennially among the nation’s elite, which lost its way in 2009.

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For the first time in a very long while, head coach Pete Carroll and the USC Trojans must go back to the drawing board. Southern Cal lost four in-conference games this season, which knocked them out of the Top 25 and put them in this humbling (by their standards) Boxing Day match-up against the Eagles.

If Boston College’s defense plays its heart out, the Eagles might just have a chance to add to the Trojans’ misery. Freshman USC QB Matt Barkley has been prone to mistakes.

If Boston College’s secondary can force Barkley into some errors/pressure with good coverage, we could see a zany finish. Eagles freshman LB Luke Kuechly is among America’s leading tacklers and their rather ho-hum offense is sparked by the running of sophomore tailback Montel Harris.

As with virtually all their games this season, the Trojans have the edge in talent. If the offense fires on all cylinders and USC plays like it can (read: a bashing of in-state rivals; 30-3 over California and 27-7 over UCLA) Barkley and Co. should emerge victorious. On offense, Joe McKnight, Damian Williams and Anthony McCoy present match-up problems, and on the other side of the ball if DE Everson Griffen gets round the edge, look out.

Yet all season USC hasn’t been putting the stomping on teams it usually does, so it’s a bit of a wild card.

If Barkley can manage the game (a reasonably big ‘if’) look for Southern Cal to take this one in its home state.

2009 Team Stats

Total Offense: Boston College 97th
USC 58th

Total Defense: Boston College 23rd
USC 43rd

Trends:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College’s last 5 games
Boston College is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Southern Cal is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
Southern Cal is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

Pick: USC -7

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James has been naming every player on the EA Sports NCAA video game rosters for half a decade now, he’s finally putting his knowledge to better use writing for us here at CappersPicks.com. As always you’re comments are welcome below…Give Us Your Take!

By James Hayes

James has been naming every player on the EA Sports video game rosters for half a decade now, he’s finally putting his knowledge to better use writing for us here at CappersPicks.com. Your comments are welcome below…Give Us Your Take!