Eastern Michigan vs Michigan St. Odds & Prediction
Michigan State (2-1) fell from the ranks of the unbeaten last week falling to Notre Dame at home and in that game they only scored 3 points.
EMU Eagles vs. No. 21 Michigan St. Spartans
Venue/ Stadium: Spartan Stadium, EAST LANSING, MI
Time/Date: 3:30 PM EST Saturday, September 22, 2012
NCAAF Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: MSU -33
Over/Under: 47
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. No. 21 Michigan State Spartans Preview
However, there is a good chance they will get back in the W column at home facing Eastern Michigan, as the Eagles are 0-3 and are very weak on both sides of the ball. NCAAF lines have Michigan State as HUGE 33-point home favorites with a total of 47.
In their last games Michigan State lost to Notre Dame 20-3 while Eastern Michigan was crushed losing to Purdue 54-16.
On the season Eastern Michigan is 0-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-0 and Michigan State is 1-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 0-2-1.
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MSU QB Andrew Maxwell struggled against the solid Notre Dame defense and he and his solid WR corps should get back on track facing a pretty thin and weak Eastern Michigan secondary.
Where Eastern Michigan has really struggled this season is defending the run. They rank 111th in the nation in run defense and last week in their ugly loss to Purdue they gave up nearly 400 yards on the ground. Michigan State RB Le’Veon Bell rushed for 210 yards in the season opener and while he only had 77 rushing yards last week against Notre Dame he should easily surpass 100 rushing yards in this game.
Eastern Michigan has been outscored 122-56 in their 3 games this season and overall they have lost 5 straight. Their passing offense only ranks 115th in the nation in passing yards per game and Alex Gillett leads the offense, but only has 397 passing yards in 3 games. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
For the Eagles to have any chance to win this game they will have to run the ball well and eat up the clock keeping their defense off the field. Gillet is the team’s leading rusher and he and RB Javonti Greene (128 yards) will be facing a Michigan State run defense that ranks 14th in the nation.
The Eagles have a weak offense and defense, but Michigan State cannot overlook them, as they have a big game next week against rival Ohio State, which is their first Big 10 game.
In some betting trends for this non-conference game Eastern Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Big Ten, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
Michigan State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall and they have an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 games after a loss.
Jason’s Pick: The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against MSU and even though the Spartans are giving 33 points that trend will continue. Michigan State will crush Eastern Michigan and cover the big spread.
