BYU Cougars vs. SDSU Aztecs Poinsettia Bowl Preview & Free Pick

BYU vs. San Diego State NCAA Football Spread/Handicapping

SDSU did not get off to a great start this season, but they caught fire and ended up winning their last 7 games of the season. They will be facing a BYU team That won 3 of their last 4 games and has the nation’s 5th ranked defense.

Venue/ Stadium: Qualcomm Stadium, SAN DIEGO, CA
Time/Date: 8 PM EST Thursday, December 20, 2012
NFL Odds From: JustBet.cx
Moneyline: BYU -165 / SDSU +145
Spread: BYU -3.5
Over/Under:  48

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BYU Cougars vs. San Diego State Aztecs Preview

These teams used to be rivals in the MWC and the Cougars have won 9 of the last 10 games between these 2 teams with the last meeting in 2010. NCAAF lines have BYU as 3.5-point favorites in this game with a total of 48.

This game is technically being held at a neutral site, but it is being held in Sanm Diego so the Aztecs may have some home field advantage.

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In their last games of the season BYU beat New Mexico State 50-14 and SDSU beat Wyoming 42-28.

This season BYU is 6-6 ATS with an Over/Under record of 5-6 and SDSU is 8-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-6.

SDSU QB Adam Dingwell was undefeated after taking over Under center in the 2nd half of the season and while he has some decent receivers the Aztecs are all about the run. On the season they ranked 15th in the nation in rushing yards per game and only 106th in passing yards per game.

The main guy that BYU has to worry about is SDSU RB Adam Muema, who rushed for 1,355 yards with 17 TD and in the season finale he rushed for 255 yards and 4 TD. Muema facing BYU and their 2nd ranked rushing offense may be the key match up in this game. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

James Lark may get the start at QB with starter Riley Nelson questionable with a rib injury. WR Cody Hoffman is, by far the big target, as he has 1,355 receiving yards on the season and the next leading target only 308 receiving yards.

In the last game of the season he caught a school record 5 TD and he will be facing a SDSU pass defense that ranks 59th in the nation.

RB Jamaal Williams paces the BYU rushing offense and he struggled in the last game of the season and will be facing the strength of the SDSU defense, which is their pass D that ranks 35th in the nation.

In some betting trends for this Poinsettia Bowl game BYU is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games, 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 non-conference games.

SDSU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, and they have an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 games facing a team with a winning record.

Jason’s Pick: I am going with the underdog in this one, as in sunny San Diego I think the Aztecs will continue their hot play and they will not only cover the spread, but they will win.