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Big 12 Conference: NCAA Football Gambling Predictions

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NCAA Football Betting – 2010 Big 12 Preview

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It’s almost time for college football to return and I for one will be thrilled to see the players take the field and shift the focus away from things like recruiting violations. Next up in our conference-by-conference previews is the Big 12.

This should be fun. Now that Colt McCoy is off to the Dawg Pound, college football betting fans everywhere are asking whether Texas can still be a force in the Big 12. Or is the conference suddenly up for grabs?

The Texas Longhorns still have the highest listed odds to win at +200. No more McCoy means that Garrett Gilbert gets his big chance to be the starting quarterback. It’s not like he’ll succumb to the pressure, right? After all, he was thrown into the fire in the BCS Championship game last year when McCoy got hurt and he had some magical moments. Make no mistake, though; Texas will shift to a more running-focused offense. At least the defense should remain very strong.

Right behind Texas is Nebraska (+250). The Cornhuskers have a massive void of their own with Ndamukong Suh gone from the defensive line but they also have plenty going for them. They had the nation’s No. 6 rushing offense last year and return nine offensive starters. Even without Suh, the defense will still be strong; it led the country in scoring defense. Nebraska’s final season in the Big 12 could be one to remember.

Oklahoma (+250) is also right there. The Sooners were fourth in the Big 12 in offense and second in defense last year but finished a disappointing 8-5. That was largely because they spent so much of their season without Sam Bradford. Now his replacement, Landry Jones, gets a full season to grow after a competent redshirt freshman campaign. The Sooners look like they’ll score plenty again but, while they do return seven defensive starters, some pundits wonder if their secondary is a bit soft.

Missouri is next at +650. Like every team in this conference, the Tigers look like they’ll field an explosive offense in 2010. Is pivot Blaine Gabbert a Heisman Trophy candidate? He topped 3,500 passing yards and threw for 24 scores last year. Missouri will test opposing pass defenses but it also allows plenty of yards and points, so it will probably play plenty of shootouts this season.

Kansas State and Texas A&M (both +800) hope to factor into the conference title picture. But Kansas State struggles to rush the passer and that’s a gargantuan red flag in the pass-happy Big 12. At least its secondary is solid. Texas A&M doesn’t stop the run very well but that’s OK in this conference. It also has one of the Big 12’s more intriguing offensive weapons in Jerrod Johnson, who threw for over 3,500 yards and ran for over 500 too last season.

Colorado and Texas Tech (both +1200) have the same odds but I don’t see why. Colorado has a tough non-conference schedule and won just three games last year. Texas Tech, on the other hand, could keep pace with the other elite offenses in this conference.

THE FREE 2010 Big 12 CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PICK

As good as Suh was for Nebraska last year, I don’t think the rest of the defense – and Nebraska as a whole – got enough credit last season. The Cornhuskers may not have the top passing attack in the Big 12 but they do everything else better than the competition: running the ball and defending. As some of the other elite programs reload, the door is open for Nebraska.

Pick: Nebraska +250

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