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Red Wolves vs. Golden Panthers NCAA Football Pick / Gambling Preview (Nov. 27)

Arkansas State vs Florida International Betting – FIU Can Clinch Sun Belt Title

Before College Football Gambling fans turn their attention to other sports betting events this week, we have a Friday NCAA game of the day pick for you. It’s time for our weekly Football picks for online ncaa football betting action.

Team records:
Arkansas State: 4-7 SU, 7-4 ATS
Florida International: 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS
Go INSIDE This MAtchup With Our CFB ATS Stats —>

The Florida International Golden Panthers are one win away from an historic conference championship. Can they seal the deal on home turf in Miami?

NCAA football betting: Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-7) at Florida International Golden Panthers (5-5)

Arkansas State Red Wolves @ FIU Golden Panthers
Online Betting Odds: FIU -5

Why To Bet On Arkansas State

The Red Wolves are certainly capable of winning this game. Arkansas State has a solid dual-threat quarterback in the form of Ryan Aplin. ASU can put defenses on a pendulum because Aplin is a capable passer who can also make plays with his legs when improvisation is required.

Arkansas State drilled preseason Sun Belt Conference favorite Middle Tennessee in a nationally-televised game back on Nov. 2 in Jonesboro, Arkansas. The Red Wolves also gave Navy a decent fight this past weekend on the road, and would have pulled within just one possession of the Midshipmen in the middle of the fourth quarter had it not been for a missed extra point.

ASU drew within nine points of Navy (28-19) and hoped to make the margin only eight points, but the point-after try was blocked, and that ruined the Wolves’ chances of a comeback. At any rate, this is a plucky and persistent opponent who will not give in very easily to Florida International. Given that the Sun Belt has zero bowl-eligible teams at this point, the league is balanced and wide open.

Florida International might have a 5-1 record in the Sun Belt, but the Golden Panthers – at 5-5 overall – are hardly an elite team; they can be had by some teams in the league, and Arkansas State is one of them.

Why To Bet On Florida International

The Golden Panthers, for all their weaknesses on defense, have risen to a higher plateau in Sun Belt play. The difference maker for coach Mario Cristobal – who should be getting a long look from a lot of athletic directors who are wanting to fill coaching vacancies in the coming offseason – has been Wesley Carroll. The quarterback transferred to FIU from Mississippi State, and while he struggled profoundly against the speed of the Southeastern Conference, Carroll has been a perfect fit for this Sun Belt program.

The pace of play is much more manageable than it is in the SEC, and as a result, Carroll has been a very reliable field general for his team. Carroll hit 16-of-19 passes without an interception this past weekend in a solid 38-17 road win at Louisiana-Lafayette. It’s safe to say that if Carroll can come anywhere close to that kind of performance in this game, the Golden Panthers will be very hard to beat.

Arkansas State needs to take the ball away from Florida International to have a reasonable shot on Saturday, but if Wesley Carroll protects the pigskin, the Red Wolves will be out of luck.

How The Game Will Play Out

Florida International is riding a wave of success and is playing at home with a chance to nail down the conference title. It doesn’t seem as though Wesley Carroll is going to hiccup at this important moment.

The Golden Panthers will win by 10 to 13 points and lift the Sun Belt trophy.

Recent Trends

ARKST are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games.
Under is 19-7-1 in ARKST last 27 road games.
Over is 10-3 in FLINT last 13 games in November.
FLINT are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Under is 6-2 in FLINT last 8 conference games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State’s last 5 games
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida International
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Arkansas State’s last 21 games on the road
Arkansas State is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
Florida International is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida International’s last 6 games at home
Florida International is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Florida International is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home

Arkansas State Florida International Betting Pick: FIU -5

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Poolside Rants hails from beautiful Bozeman Montana by way of Toronto, Canada. (Blame his wife for the move). He’s a Dallas Cowboys football honk. But please….don’t hold that against him. The man knows his sports and has uncanny knowledge when it comes to picking games.

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