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Baylor Bears vs. West Virginia Mountaineers CFB Preview & Free Pick

Baylor vs West Virginia Odds & Prediction

Both Baylor and West Virginia have yet to lose and this game should be a barnburner, as each has a passing offense that ranks in the top 5 in the nation.

Venue/ Stadium: Mountaineer Field, MORGANTOWN, WV
Time/Date: 12 PM EST Saturday, September 29, 2012
NCAAF Odds From BetOnline
Moneyline: Baylor +335 / WVU -425
Spread: WVU -11
Over/Under: 81

Matchup | Preview 

No. 25 Baylor Bears vs. No. 9 West Virginia Mountaineers Preview

On top of that each team has a weak pass defense and you can tell oddsmakers think this will be a shootout with a total of 81. NCAAF lines have West Virginia as 11-point home favorites.

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In their last games West Virginia beat Maryland 31-21 and Baylor beat Louisiana-Monroe 47-42.

On the season Baylor is 1-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-0 and West Virginia is 1-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-1.

Mountaineers QB Geno Smith has to be an early Heisman front-runner and he has 12 TD and 0 INT this season and has passed for over 1,070 yards this season. WR’s Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey are a couple of big play receivers that each has over 300 yards in the air and each also has 5 TD. Baylor’s pass defense only ranks 113th in the nation.

The Mountaineers have a couple of RB’s that have over 140 rushing yards per game and they will have their chances in this game since Baylor will key on stopping Smith. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Nick Florence has passed for 1004 yards with 11 TD and he also has a couple of big play WR’s in Tevin Reese and Terrance Williams, who each are averaging over 20 yards per catch. Florence will be facing a WVU pass defense that only ranks 103rd in the nation, but he has not faced any good teams yet this season and he has 2 picks in each of his last 2 games.

Jarred Salubi is the lead RB for Baylor and his production has steadily declined in each of his last 3 games and in the narrow win over Louisiana-Monroe he only averaged 2.9 yards per carry.

Baylor is back in the top 25, but they have never beaten a ranked opponent (0-25) on the road in Big 12 play. They have a terrible defense and for them to win they will have to score a ton of points.

In some betting trends for this Big 12 match up Baylor is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and they have an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games.

West Virginia is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss, and they have an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 home games.

Jason’s Pick: I think this game will be a high scoring affair, but WVU simply has a better team and a better defense and since they are at home they will win their Big 12 debut and the will cover.


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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.