Thursday Night College Football – THURSDAY DECEMBER 3, 2009
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Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-8) v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-11)
Arkansas: 2-8 ATS / Western Kentucky: 5-5 ATS
The Arkansas State Red Wolves has struggled on the road, losing all six games this season and 18 of its last 20 away games, but will look to change that when they take on the winless Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Thursday at L.T. Smith Stadium.
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The last time these two teams met was in 1952 in the Refrigerator Bowl. The Hilltoppers won that game 34-19. The series history is Arkansas State 1-Western Kentucky 1, and one tie.
Arkansas State is coming off a 30-26 victory over North Texas in Week 13. Quarterback Ryan Aplin threw for 240 yards and ran for 122 yards and two touchdowns, but also had three interceptions in the win. Running back Don Jones and tailback Reggie Arnold added scoring runs for ASU. Arnold went over the 100-yard mark against North Texas. He had 111 yards — only the third time this season he has been in triple digits.
He needs 62 yards to become the school’s all-time leading rusher. ASU’s defense has been solid and is anchored by linebacker Demario Davis, who leads the team in tackles with 66, including three sacks, and seven stops for losses. He has one of ASU’s seven interceptions, which he returned 75 yards for a touchdown.
Western Kentucky has yet to post a victory this season. They are fresh off a 29-23 loss to Sun Belt rival Florida Atlantic in Week 13. The loss extended Western Kentucky’s losing streak to an NCAA-high 19 games. Quarterback Kawaun Jakes was 19-of-28 for 146 yards, and threw a single touchdown pass in the loss. Wide receiver Derrius Brooks also threw a touchdown pass to wide out Seth Tamme from 21 yards out. Casey Tinius kicked three field goals for Western Kentucky, including a 47-yarder late in the game.
Arkansas St. vs. Western Kentucky Odds
Arkansas State is –6-point favorites while the game’s total is sitting at 52 in Thursday’s match up.
A Few Trends:
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arkansas State’s last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State’s last 7 games
Arkansas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas State is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Red Wolves vs. Hilltoppers Free Pick
The Red Wolves defense will need play tough against the run as the Hilltoppers struggle with their passing game. Alpin will also need to cut down on the INTs. Arkansas State wins this and covers the spread UNDER.
Next up:
Bowl Games??? (Not Likely)
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Matt Martz is a freelance writer located in Central California. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.
