Venue/ Stadium: Cowboys Stadium, ARLINGTON, TX
Arkansas (3-1) suffered their first loss of the season last week to an Alabama team that has one of the best defenses in the nation and this Saturday in a non conference match up they must shift gears to face a Texas A&M (2-1) team that ranks 25th in the nation in scoring and has the nation’s 19th ranked passing offense.
Time/Date: 12 PM EST Saturday, October 1, 2011
NCAA Odds From: Pinnacle
Moneyline: Texas A&M -140 / Arkansas +120
Spread (ATS): Texas A&M -3
Over/Under: 61.5
No. 14 Texas A&M Aggies vs. No. 18 Arkansas Razorbacks Preview
NCAAF lines has Texas A&M as 3-point home favorites with a total of 61.5.
In their last games Texas A&M lost 30-29 heartbreaker to Oklahoma State and Arkansas lost to Alabama 38-14.
The Razorbacks have played the Aggies in the last 2 seasons and won both games.
Tyler Wilson leads the Razorbacks and their 18th ranked passing offense, but last week he only passed for 185 yards and while he had 2 TD he also had a pick and only averaged 5.3 yards per reception. He has a decent WR corps and there is a good chance he will have a better game this week facing a Texas A&M pass defense that only ranks 109th in the nation. Last week the Aggies’ pass defense gave up 438 passing yards in the loss to OSU.
One key for the Razorbacks is the play of their offensive line, which will be going up against the Aggies’ pass rush that is the best in the nation averaging 4.7 sacks per game.
Where the Aggies are stellar on D is their run defense, which ranks 7th in the nation. That is not good for the Razorbacks, who only rushed for a grand total of 17 yards last week in the loss to Alabama. RB Ronnie Wingo Jr. was totally stuffed on the ground last week and if that happens again Wilson will have to do it all in the air for Arkansas to have any chance to win.
Just like the Razorbacks the strength on offense is passing the ball with QB Ryan Tannehill, who passed for 309 yards with 2 TD, but he also had 3 picks last week. WR’s Ryan Swope and Kenric McNeal each averaged over 15 yards per reception last week and Arkansas and their 61st ranked pass defense will have to keep these guys from making the big play down the field. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
The Aggies have a better rushing offense than the Razorbacks and last week they rushed for 162 yards. Arkansas has the nation’s 39th ranked rushing defense and if they cannot stuff the run they will be in big trouble.
Even though this game is technically a neutral site game it is being held in Arlington Texas, so the Aggies may have a little of a home field advantage.
Betting Trends
Texas A&M is 1-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-2 and Arkansas is at 3-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-2.
Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, and has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 neutral site games.
Arkansas is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games facing a team with a winning record, and has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 non-conference games.
Jason’s Pick: Arkansas has won this non-conference game 2 years running, but that streak will end this Saturday. The key will be the running game both on offense and on defense, as the Aggies are better in both those aspects. Take A&M to win and cover and with each of the passing offenses these teams have I would also take the Over.
CHECK OUT OUR College football betting forums today! Join us today and make College football picks against the spread for all Division 1 NCAA Football matchups!
CappersPicks.com college football weekly predictions pages! We KNOW you will find our FREE weekly NCAA football picks, tips, betting advice, strategies, CFB gambling articles and more to help you become the best College football bettor on your block!!
