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Oregon vs. Auburn 2011 BCS Gambling Championship Prediction

Oregon Ducks vs Auburn Tigers Free BCS Title Game College Football Pick

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Oregon vs. Auburn 2011 BCS National Championship Football Pick

Date/Time: Monday, January 10, 8:30 PM EST
Venue: University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ.
Broadcast: ESPN
Oregon Ducks vs. Auburn Tigers College Betting Lines from betED
Money Line: Oregon (+115) Auburn (-135)
Spread: Auburn 2 ½
Over/Under: 74
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The 2010 College Football Bowl Season will come to a close with the playing of the 2011 Tostitos BCS National Championship Game on Monday night. Veteran sportswriter Matt Martz will preview this week’s game as he wraps up coverage of this year’s PAC-10 match ups, providing some insight to help make your college football bowl wagers winners.

The last “greatest game of all time” turned out to be a bust when Oklahoma was pounded by USC 55-19, but this year’s Tostitos BCS National Championship game has all the makings of a thriller for sure.

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There has been a lot of debate in the history of the BCS when it comes to the two teams that have battled for a National Title. With all due respect to TCU, this is not one of those years.

This game promises to provide plenty of offense as neither defense ended up as one of the top in the country. Both sides put up yards and points like few other teams in the country did this season.

This is the first time two teams that began the season not ranked among the AP’s top 10 are playing for the BCS crown. Oregon started at No. 11 while Auburn was No. 22.excitement

But that didn’t matter much as the “Eugene Machine” went 9-0 in PAC-10 play and a perfect 12-0 overall. They demolished their opponents one by one with an average margin of victory of 30 points per game, including six games where they beat their opponents by scoring 50 points or better.

As for the Tigers, they completed the season with a dominating 56-17 victory over South Carolina in the SEC title game that capped off a season going 8-0 in SEC play and 13-0 overall. However, unlike the Ducks they did have a few narrow escapes this season, beating Mississippi State, Clemson, and Kentucky by just a field goal and edging out Alabama by one-point back in November.

Offensively, the numbers are very similar.

The Ducks led the nation in scoring with 49.3 points per game averaging an outrageous 537.2 yards per game, second in the nation behind Oklahoma State (537.6).

Chip Kelly’s no-huddle spread offense dazed defenses all year long, stretching the opposition’s defense and allowing the Oregon to burn their foes with their scorching speed. They would start to outpace their opponents late in the second quarter and early in the third.

Running back LaMichael James, who finished third in the Heisman voting, was the leading rusher in the nation with 1,682 yards and 21 touchdowns. And when Kelly can squeeze no more from LaMichael, he turns to velocity fiend Kenjon Barner who averaged 6.5 yards per carry on for a total of 519 yards.

Rounding out the trio of terror is quarterback Darron Thomas ran for 488 yards. While passing for 2,518 and 28 touchdowns. Oregon’s offense is at its best when Thomas is hitting receivers downfield. His favorite target was soft-handed Jeff Maehl who hauled in 68 catches for 943 yards to go along with 12 TDs. Something to consider when Auburn ranked 105th in passing yards allowed, as well as 75th in passer efficiency allowed.

Meanwhile, Auburn chewed up a ton of yardage of its own on their way to rolling up nearly 500 yards per game while finishing 6th in the nation in scoring at 42.7 points per game.

They are lead by quarterback and Heisman trophy winner Cam Newton, who’s “Pay-For-Play” fiasco nearly tarnished the Tigers football program this year. Newton had a spectacular season with 2,589 yards passing and 1,409 yards rushing with 48 total touchdowns. He was one 11-yard completion away from averaging over 200 yards passing and over 100 yards rushing per game. He also led the nation in passing efficiency. Junior wide receiver Darvin Adams was Newton’s favorite target this season grabbing 48 passes for 909 yards and seven touchdowns.

While not as flashy as Oregon, the Tigers do boast a solid rushing attack with Michael Dyer (160 carries, 950 yards) and Onterio McCalebb (89 carries, 763 yards).

Defensively, there are some similarities and some differences as both of these teams were outstanding against the rush, but have often struggled against the pass. The Ducks defense were silent hero’s for the most part, ranking 14th in the nation this year in scoring defense at 18.4 points per game. Oregon’s front four do a good job at getting after the quarterback rolling up  31 sacks in 12 games this season, while the secondary ranks 4th with 20 interceptions. They rank 16th against the run and 56th against the pass.

Meanwhile, the Auburn defense gave up 24.5 points per game on average this season. The Tigers are extremely good against the rush (ranked 11th) but will they be able to maintain that intensity and focus for 60 minutes against a slippery James, Thomas, and Barner who will surely test their stamina and quickness. Let’s hope when you consider that they probably won’t get too much help from their secondary who ranks 105th against the pass.

Despite the Tigers being favored in this one, I have to go against the odds makers. The Tigers may have Newton, but the Ducks have numerous offensive weapons to get the job done.

Auburn will come out swinging taking a slim lead into the half while Kelly’s Ducks size up their completion coming out in the third quarter and blowing the game wide open.

Matt’s Free Prediction: Oregon 38 – Auburn 34

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Matt Martz is a sports writer for the Bakersfield Californian located in Central California. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.

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Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"


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