NC St at Duke – Can the Wolfpack cover?
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (10-5 SU, 6-4-1 ATS, 4-5 O/U) snapped their three-game losing streak in the BetUS Sportsbook the last time out, narrowly beating Georgetown 76-71 in overtime on Saturday while covering the spread as 4-point home favorites.
The Duke Blue Devils (16-1 SU, 9-6-1 ATS, 5-10 O/U) have won eight straight games since suffering their only loss of the season and are coming off a solid 76-67 win over Georgetown on Saturday. BetUS NCAA college basketball sports betting enthusiasts saw the outcome of the Blue Devils’ contest turn out to be a push with Duke being 9-point home favorites.
Tonight, the longtime ACC rivals will both be gunning for a victory in the BetUS Sportsbook when they meet at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
North Carolina State got 22 points off the bench from senior forward Brandon Costner and 18 points from senior center Ben McCauley in Saturday’s win against Georgia Tech, holding the Yellow Jackets to just 35.8 percent shooting from the field.
The Blue Devils got a team-high 23 points from junior guard Gerald Henderson to lead four players in double figure scoring.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NCAAB Free Pick:
The Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
The Wolfpack are 11-25-2 ATS in their last 38 games overall. The Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.
The Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
The Over is 8-0 in Wolfpack last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Over is 8-0 in Blue Devils last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.
The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Duke.
The Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
NCAAB Odds
NC State +19 -110
Duke Blue -198 -110
Over 139 -110
Under 139 -110
Analysis: While the Blue Devils are going to win this contest at home tonight against an underachieving NC State team, I think the 19-point line is a bit too high, even for a solid Duke team. I mean, hey, the Wolfpack are only allowing two points more per game than the Blue Devils so you do the math. Mine tells me to take NC State to cover.
