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Dayton Flyers vs. Ohio St. Buckeyes Gambling & NCAA Handicapping Prediction

Dayton vs Ohio State Preview

Dayton is 17-12 ATS with an O/U record of 16-12 and Ohio State is 15-18 ATS with an O/U record of 15-17. In their last games Dayton lost to Saint Joseph’s 70-67 and Ohio State lost to Michigan 72-69. [ad-4468020]

#11 Dayton Flyers vs. #6 Ohio State Buckeyes Preview
2014 NCAA Tournament Free Picks
South Region – 2nd Round
Venue/ Stadium: STAPLES First Niagara Center, Buffalo, New York
Time/Date: 12:15 PM EST Thursday, March 20, 2014
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Ohio State -6
Over/Under:  131.5
CBB Odds: [dfads params=’groups=63740&limit=1&return_javascript=0′]

ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight!

In the 2nd round of the South Region the 11th seed Dayton Flyers face the 6th ranked Ohio State Buckeyes. Ohio State is the 6-point favorite between these 2 teams from the same state and the Buckeyes had  won 3 straight games before their loss to Michigan.

Dayton had won 4 straight and 10 of their last 11 before losing to Saint Joseph’s in the Atlatic 10 conference tournament.

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Many picking are picking this game as the big upset in the first round and Dayton was solid this season facing ranked teams going 2-1.

Ohio State, obviously, played a much tougher schedule playing in the Big 10, which has 4 teams in the top 25 and 6 in the Big Dance, and for the season they were 4-5 facing top 25 teams.

It is interesting that while the Atlantic 10 is not considered a major conference they are like the Big 10 in that they sent 6 teams to the Big Dance.
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Ohio State only ranks 209th in the nation in scoring, but they are led by their defense, which ranks 12th in the nation only giving up an average of 59.8 ppg.

Dayton is a balanced team with 4 players averaging at least 9.5 ppg led by the G/FW duo of Jordan Sibert Jordan Sibert (12.5 ppg) and Devin Oliver (12.1 ppg), who also leads the Flyers in rebounds per game. The Flyers play a solid team game with no big stars and they have to have a team effort if they are going to beat Ohio State.

Ohio State FW and leading scorer LaQunton Ross (15.4 ppg) is the player that the Flyers really have to worry about, as he has been on a tear as of late and also leads the Buckeyes in rebounding.

In his last 5 games Ross has averaged 21 ppg and in 2 of the last 3 games he had pulled down at least 13 boards.

The Buckeyes only have 2 players averaging in double figures in Ross and Lenzelle Smith Jr., who has really struggled as of late only averaging 6 ppg his his last 4 games.

Dayton is a good shooting team ranking 60th in the nation in team FG% and if Ohio State and their solid D can keep them from shooting a high FG% they will be in good shape.

Betting Trends

Dayton is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Ohio State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and in their last 5 games they have an Over record of 4-1.

Jason’s Pick:

I am going to go against many experts and also buck the betting trends, as I think Ohio State will come out and play great defense in their opening Big Dance game and win and cover the spread.

By Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.