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Missouri vs. Connecticut Free Pick (Mar. 28)

Missouri (31-6)  vs. UConn (30-4)

2009 NCAA Tournament Elite 8 Action
Saturday March 28, 4:40 PM ET
Glendale, AZ University of Phoenix Stadium – West Region

Missouri is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 outings. They are 9-2 ATS in their last NCAA Tournament performances. The over has played in the last 7 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. On neutral courts the over has hit in 8 of the last 10.JT Tiller is coming off a career high 23 points vs. Memphis. He primarily scored via penetration. Connecticut will have Hasheem Thabeet inside to stop any easy layups like he got against Memphis. DeMarre Carroll and Leo Lyons will do their best via pick and roll to get Thabeet out of the paint and out towards the perimeter. They will also attempt to get him in foul trouble which he is prone to do.

Connecticut is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games. They are 3-6-1 ATS in the last 10 games overall. The over has hit in all 6 neutral site games this year and 4-0 in the last 4 vs. Big 12 teams. UConn has been cruising in the tournament with a 33.3 point average margin of victory. UConn’s transition game should work better against Missouri than it did against Purdue. This is because Missouri will attempt to trap while Purdue just got back and packed the paint with defenders. AJ Price should be able to exploit Missouri’s defense via the drive just like Tyreke Evans did from Memphis.

Line-makers and the public see that Missouri has won their last 6 ATS and the line is inflated to their direction in my opinion.  Arizona vs. Louisville Free Pick (Mar. 27)Both teams will try to run and score in transition. Missouri is going to be the smaller team. I just don’t see Missouri keeping up with the Huskies in this matchup.

Last Game Out:

Last game for Missouri (31-6): Win 102-91 vs. Memphis
Last game for Connecticut (30-4): Win 72-60 vs. Purdue

Betting Lines:

Connecticut -5.5
Over/Under 149.5

No Recent Matchups

My Elite 8 FREE PICK for Missouri vs. Connecticut

Pick – OVER
Pick – UConn

BET ON THIS ELITE 8 MATCHUP AT BETUS.COM – ONLINE SPORTSBOOK WITH THE BEST NCAA TOURNAMENT BETTING ODDS IN THE WORLD!!!!

 

Chris Hahn is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. He’s a Wichita State Shockers season tix holder! But don’t hold that against him ok? He flat out loves his college HOOPS! Got a comment? In the mood to run a little smack? Chris wants to hear from you, so comment below!

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