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Michigan St. vs. North Carolina Free Pick (Apr 6)

Michigan State (31-6) vs. North Carolina (33-4)

2009 NCAA Tournament National Championship Game
Monday April 6, 9:15 PM ET
Detroit, MI Ford Field

These two teams met earlier in the year at Ford Field.  North Carolina dominated the game and won 98-63.  Michigan State did not have the services on Goran Suton.  Michigan State is not even close to the same team now as they were in December.  In the earlier matchup the lone bright spot for MSU was Raymar Morgon which had 21 points on 8-14 shooting.MSU shot 34.8% from the field including 23.5% from 3.  They also committed 21 turnovers.  Without Suton in the game, Tyler Hansbrough dominated inside to lead the Tar Heels to the easy victory.

Michigan State has won ATS in all 5 tournament games this year.  They have beaten two #1 seeds out of the Big East Conference on the way.  However, they are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 against ACC opponents.  The Spartans will not have the depth advantage over UNC as they have had over their opponents in this year’s tournament.  MSU has been winning with great defense and spectacular guard play.  UNC has the best guards Michigan State has faced though in Lawson and Ellington.

North Carolina has also won all 5 games ATS in this year’s tournament.  The under has been 4-1 in the same 5 games.  They have been completely dominating opponents with the closest game being 12 points.  In the last 2 games, which were against #3 seeds, the Tar Heels have built huge leads and cruised in the 2nd half to make the outcome a little closer than it could have been.  In the National Championship game I do not look for that to happen as there is nothing to rest for as there was in previous rounds.  Roy Williams will want to get bench players in the game for the experience but will not want to take the feeling away from his upper classmen that came back for this very game. 

North Carolina is on a mission and will not be stopped.  Many Tar Heel players came back this year for this opportunity.  Michigan State will have the crowd on their side but it won’t matter.  UNC has been the class of college basketball this year.  After cutting down the nets Roy Williams will have his work cut out for him next year.  All 5 starters are either graduating or expect to turn pro.  This game will be UNC’s last shot for a title in a while.

Last Game Out:

Last game for Michigan State (31-6): Win 82-73 vs. Connecticut
Last game for North Carolina (33-4): Win 83-69 vs. Villanova

Betting Lines:

North Carolina -7.5
Over/Under 152.5

Recent Matchups

12/3/08 UNC 98 MSU 63
3/17/07 UNC 81 MSU 67
4/2/05 UNC 87 MSU 71

My National Championship FREE PICK for Michigan State vs. North Carolina
Pick – North Carolina
Pick – UNDER


Chris Hahn is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. He’s a Wichita State Shockers season tix holder! But don’t hold that against him ok? He flat out loves his college HOOPS! Got a comment? In the mood to run a little smack? Chris wants to hear from you, so comment below!


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  1. I like both these picks, North Carolina and the under. The Tar Heels are just too good a team not to win this game by 10 or more. It won’t be shoot out so the under looks good at 152.5.