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Villanova Wildcats vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Odds & Free NCAA Tourney Pick

Villanova vs North Carolina March Madness Betting!

In the 2nd round of the Big Dance and in the opening game for each of these teams the South Region’s 9th seed Villanova faces 8th seed North Carolina.

Venue/ Stadium: Sprint Center, Kansas City, MO
Time/Date: 7:20 PM EST Friday, March 22, 2013
NCAAB Odds From: Sportsbook.ag
Moneyline: Villanova +160 / UNC +190
Spread: UNC -4.5
Over/Under:  143.5

ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight!

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Villanova Wildcats vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Preview

The winner if this game will likely face Kansas for the right to go to the Sweet 16. NCAAB lines have North Carolina as 4.5-point favorites with a total of 143.5.

In their last games Villanova lost to Louisville 74-55 in the Big East tournament and North Carolina lost to Miami 87-77 in the ACC tournament.

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On the season Villanova is 19-10-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 12-16 and North Carolina is 20-12 with an Over/Under record of 15-17.

Villanova beat North Carolina this season back in January.

UNC is led by FW James Michael McAdoo (14.4 ppg 7.4 rpg), but the Wildcats may be more concerned the guards of the Tar Heels in Reggie Bullock and P.J. Hairston, who are a couple of great 3-point shooters. These 2 have combined for 164 3-pointers this season and the Wildcats need to keep these 2 guys from getting open looks from deep.

Villanova had 4 fewer wins than UNC this season, but they did come up with a couple of big wins against Louisville and Syracuse. [ad-6571516]

The Wildcats have a solid outside/inside duo in FW JayVaughn Pinkston *13.1 ppg 4.9 rpg) and G Ryan Arcidiacono (12 ppg), who really striggled in his last game.

Villanova will have to play good D in this game facing a North Carolina team that ranks 14th in the nation in both points per game and rebounds per game. This is especially the case since Nova only ranks 161st in the nation in scoring. If the Tar Heels can score they will be in good shape and not only are the Wildcats not a high scoring team, but they only rank 262nd in the nation in team FG%.

UNC had a down season this season, at least for them, and they were only 1-6 facing teams that were ranked in the top 25.

In some betting trends for this opening round Big Dance game Villanova is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games overall, -1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and they have an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 non-conference games.

UNC is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games, and they have an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games.

Jason’s Pick: UNC did not have a great season, but have to go with them, as they are UNC and I think they are simply the better team.

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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.


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