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Spartans vs. Boilermakers NCAA Hoops Free Pick/Preview

Free Preview and gambling pick including updated point spread and LIVE betting odds for the Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Friday Big Ten Tournament hoops gambling matchup…

2011 Big Ten Conference Tournament – MSU Spartans vs Purdue Boilermakers

Kyle Hunter
Kyle Hunter

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Michigan State vs. Purdue Matchup
Date/Time: Friday, March 11, 6:30 PM ET
Venue: Conseco Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Broadcast: Big Ten Network
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Betting Lines from Diamond
Money Line: Off
Spread: Purdue -7.5
Over/Under: 131

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Are the Spartans really up against the Boilermakers in the second round of the Big Ten Tournament? Indeed, if we had projected this tournament before the season started this would have probably been most people’s pick for the final game, but it hasn’t turned out that way. The Michigan State Spartans squeaked past the Iowa Hawkeyes yesterday to put themselves in slightly better shape as far as their NCAA Tournament bubble standing.

Purdue is coming off a disappointing loss to Iowa in the regular season finale, and Matt Painter’s team will be looking to put the Spartans down early.

Tom Izzo’s Michigan State Spartans team wasn’t impressive at all on Thursday, but they did pick up the win. The Spartans were beaten badly by Purdue in both regular season meetings, so they’ll need to change something up for this matchup. Just a couple weeks ago Purdue beat Michigan State by 20 points in East Lansing. Michigan State’s Draymond Green has been their most consistent contributor this year. Green is averaging 12.5 points and 8.5 rebounds per game.

Green also leads the Spartans in assists, so he is a very skilled big man. Kalin Lucas is struggling with recurring injuries and he just hasn’t been the same player this year. Delvon Roe and Durrell Summers were two guys that were expected to have a huge year, but both have been very disappointing.

Can the Spartans avoid the careless turnovers that have cost them for much of this year?

Purdue’s JaJuan Johnson has been the most consistent player in the Big Ten this year. Johnson averaged 20.6 points and 8.2 rebounds per game during the regular season. He shot an impressive 50% from the floor, and he connected on 81% of his free throw attempts. E’Twaun Moore is another star for this Boilers team. Moore averaged 18.3 points per game during the regular season, and he showed what he was capable of when he torched Ohio State for 38 points in February.

The problem this year for Purdue has been finding a third guy option on the offensive end. Ryne Smith is a solid shooter and he has contributed nicely down the stretch, and Lewis Jackson has gotten more aggressive at the point guard spot. Purdue has been able to stay in every game this year because of their terrific defense.

The Boilermakers are allowing just 61 points per game this year.

Trends:

MCHST are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. Big Ten.
Under is 6-2 in MCHST last 8 Fri. games.
Over is 17-5 in PURD last 22 Fri. games.
PURD are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
PURD are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Big Ten.
MCHST are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings.

The Pick: Michigan State hasn’t given me any reason to pick them in this game. Purdue had a hiccup at Iowa, but they play solid team basketball. The Boilers have beaten the Spartans soundly twice, and I think they’ll do it again on Friday.

Prediction: Purdue 71 Michigan State 59

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