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Raiders vs Bulldogs | Free Pick (Mar. 9)

HORIZON LEAGUE MEN’S CHAMPIONSHIP – FINAL – Wright State Raiders vs. Butler Bulldogs NCAA Hoops Predictions

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Team records:
Wright State – 20-11 SU, 11-15-2 ATS
Butler – 27-4 SU, 12-19 ATS

Butler has the luxury of trying to close out the Horizon Conference Tournament on its homecourt this evening.

Butler won both regular season matchups covering both at home and on the road.  They won each game by 12 points.

Wright State has been the second best team in the Horizon conference for most of Butlers recent run of dominance.  This year they were at the top of the second tier of conference and got there by playing stout defence, giving up only 60 points per game.  They are going to need a stellar defensive game to earn the Horizon’s automatic bid against Butler’s plethora of weapons.  Like so many small conference teams this team is…small.  They are led by three guards including Vaughan Duggins, a senior and their leading scorer. 

The Raiders have not beat Butler since 2007 when they swept them.  They are also not a very good road team and this is one of the rare championship games that is not really at a neutral site.Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

It may seem nitpicky but despite the gaudy record and undefeated conference season I think Butler has had a pretty mediocre season.  Matt Howard is fouling everyone in sight and Gordon Hayward has been very inconsistent.  If these two do not have good games this team could easily get bounced in the first round of the “Tournament”.  That said, the Bulldogs should not have much trouble dispatching the Raiders this evening providing hope for the litany of bubble teams.  

In the Horizon their talent is far superior to the opposition and the shortcomings of Howard and Hayward keep opponents in the game for longer than expected (see brutal ATS record).  Butler will play most of the game with a working 5 point margin with a late run making it a double digit victory.

Wright State vs Butler Odds

The odds makers have Butler as the favourite -7.

Betting Trends:

Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games.
Raiders are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Horizon League.
Raiders are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Raiders are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Bulldogs are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Free Raiders vs. Bulldogs CBB Pick

After a perfect season Butler may be primed for an upset but not on their home floor in the championship game. Neither Howard nor Hayward will shine but they will be good enough to make the difference.  Wright State will fight hard but it won’t be enough.  

Score Prediction:  Butler 66 – Wright State 57



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.