Gators vs Crimson Tide NCAAB Handicapping Prediction
Can’t believe Florida (19-6) is only slight favorite in this game against Alabama (16-8), as the Tide will be without their 2 leading scorers and rebounders with JaMychal Green and Tony Mitchell both suspended.
Venue/ Stadium: Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Time/Date: 7 PM EST Wednesday, February 12, 2012
NCAA Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Florida -155 / Alabama +135
Spread (ATS): Florida -3
Over/Under: 132.5
No 12 Florida Gators vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Preview
NCAAB lines have the Gators as 3-point away favorites with a total of 132.5.
In their last games Florida lost to Tennessee 75-70 and Alabama lost to LSU 67-58.
This season Florida is 9-10-1 ATS with an O/U record of 13-7 and Alabama is 9-11 with an O/U record of 12-8.
Florida has lost 2-straight and even with Green and Mitchell out they may have a hard time getting back on track facing an Alabama defense that ranks 13th in the nation. The Tide will really have to win this game with their D not only because their top 2 scorers are out, but also because they only rank 214th in the nation in points per game.
While Alabama does not have a great offense the Gators have the 16th highest scoring team in the nation led by the backcourt duo of Kenny Boynton (17.5 ppg) and Bradley Beal (14.4 ppg). Beal has been ice cold the last 2 games combining to shoot 7/25 from the floor.
The Gators will also be shorthanded for tonight’s game, as reserves F Will Yeguete (4.5 ppg 6.1 rpg) and G Mike Rosario (7.9 ppg) are both out with injuries. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
With the 2 leading scorers out Trevor Releford (12.4 ppg) has to step up on offense and get some help, as after him no other player is averaging over 7 ppg.
Florida has a great backcourt and they use solid ball movement to find open guys ranking 22nd in the nation in assists per game, so the Tide must get in the passing lanes and take the Gators out of their game.
Florida is averaging 12 ppg fewer on the road than at home, but they have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Tide in Alabama.
Betting Trends
Florida is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite, and they have an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 games against teams with a winning S.U. record.
Alabama is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.
Jason’s Pick: Both teams have major issues, but I think Alabama is really in trouble, as they will have trouble scoring in this game.
Yeah, they will play good D, but it will not enough, as Florida will win and cover in this SEC match up.
