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NCAA Hoops Predictions: Lobos vs Aztecs Betting Preview

San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos | Free Pick (February 16)

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SDSU 25-1 (15-9 ATS) vs New Mexico 17-8 (10-11-1 ATS)
Wednesday February 16 – 10:30PM
Recent history: SDSU won 87-77 at New Mexico last month.
SDSU vs. New Mexico Odds
SDSU -10.5
O/U 130.5

Click here to view LIVE ATS Stats for this matchup —>

San Diego State proved they were mortal in losing at BYU but they are still the best team in the Mountain West Conference in my opinion (BYU lost to New Mexico right after…remember).  New Mexico is also good and they seem to be playing better so hopefully the Aztecs will not be over confident on their home floor.  Last time out against the Lobos guard DJ Gay was the star hitting 7 of 11 from deep on his way to 30 points.  

He plays a lot of minutes for this team so Aztec fans will hope he has enough in the tank for another superlative performance.  The great thing about SDSU is that they have great balance and can win even when he struggles…some of the time (he only scored 2 in that BYU loss).

The Lobos have been streaky all season and saw a 4 game winning streak end at an underreated Colorado State over the weekend.  Transfer forward Drew Gordon has been most of what was expected offering a legit low post presence in both scoring and rebounding.  

He had a great game the last time these two tangled with 23 points and 14 rebounds and has had a double-double in 6 of his last 9.  

If New Mexico is going to hang with the Aztecs on the road he needs to have a another good game and negate some of their up front prowess.  NM has not been a good bet on the road just 3-6-1 ATS.

Betting Trends:

Lobos are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 Wednesday games.
Lobos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Lobos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. Mountain West.
Aztecs are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Aztecs are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Aztecs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Lobos are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Diego St..

Free Aztecs vs Lobos CBB Pick

SDSU is building something special this year and if they are careful they could be a number one seed.  Look for them to play with confidence at home against an opponent they have already beaten.  The number is pretty solid here as they are not likely to run New Mexico out of the gym.

Score prediction:   SDSU 77 – New Mexico 68



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.